SEC Said To Allow Bitcoin Futures ETFs As Deadline Looms (bloomberg.com) 28
The Securities and Exchange Commission is poised to allow the first U.S. Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund to begin trading in a watershed moment for the cryptocurrency industry, according to people familiar with the matter. Bloomberg reports: The regulator isn't likely to block the products from starting to trade next week, said the people, who asked not to be named while discussing the decision. Unlike Bitcoin ETF applications that the regulator has previously rejected, the proposals by ProShares and Invesco Ltd. are based on futures contracts and were filed under mutual fund rules that SEC Chairman Gary Gensler has said provide "significant investor protections." Barring a last-minute reversal, the fund launch will be the culmination of a nearly decade-long campaign by the $6.7 trillion ETF industry. Advocates have sought approval as a confirmation of mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies since Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, the twins best known for their part in the history of Facebook Inc., filed the first application for a Bitcoin ETF in 2013.
Approval has for years been out of the grasp of issuers who, amid myriad false signs of progress and outright rejections, have tried to get a variety of different structures cleared for trading. Over the years, there have been plans for funds that proposed to hold Bitcoin via a digital vault or that could use leverage to juice returns. Others sought to mitigate Bitcoin's famous volatility, a key point of contention for the SEC. [...] Four futures-backed Bitcoin ETFs could begin trading on U.S. exchanges this month, with deadlines for applications from VanEck and Valkyrie also approaching. Meanwhile, dozens of cryptocurrency exchange-traded products have launched in Canada and across Europe.
Approval has for years been out of the grasp of issuers who, amid myriad false signs of progress and outright rejections, have tried to get a variety of different structures cleared for trading. Over the years, there have been plans for funds that proposed to hold Bitcoin via a digital vault or that could use leverage to juice returns. Others sought to mitigate Bitcoin's famous volatility, a key point of contention for the SEC. [...] Four futures-backed Bitcoin ETFs could begin trading on U.S. exchanges this month, with deadlines for applications from VanEck and Valkyrie also approaching. Meanwhile, dozens of cryptocurrency exchange-traded products have launched in Canada and across Europe.
Unsurprising considering other tradable garbage (Score:5, Insightful)
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At the end of the rainbow...
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The bank always wins (Score:3)
Faites vos jeux.
A big test (Score:4, Insightful)
This will be a big test for BitCoin. Creation of ETFs will essentially lower the barrier of entry from having to deal with some sketchy exchange or possess some technical knowledge to everyone with mobile app from their broker gets to play.
We will find out if more of the people on the side lines - thought it was stupid, and did not bother with it, but now that its easy to gamble on shorting it will do so vs people who wanted to get in because they believe it will continue to appreciate but were uncomfortable with the how.
I don't think this will reduce volatility or speculation in the short term if it was those international markets would have done it. However I think ETFs on US exchanges with US style options contracts on them will put in a long term trend of either continued appreciation against the dollar or long term decline. Its sink or swim time for BitCoin.
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If I understand this correctly, it would end up working like the leveraged oil ETFs back in their heyday — destined to return less than the underlying asset due to the cost of laddering futures contracts. They work for short term but not long term.
As for what it does for Bitcoin, still not taking that gamble.
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If most of the transactions of BTC are from speculators and it has no other values, then the shift to trading ETFs will just straight cause the value of BTC to plummet because nobody will want to trade the actual currency anymore. For that matter, the exchanges make most of their money from speculative trading, so unless actual commerce starts taking place with Bitcoin, the exchanges will stop making money too.
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will put in a long term trend of either continued appreciation against the dollar or long term decline.
Way to go out on a limb! :-)
If BitCoin somehow becomes absolutely stable against the dollar, you are going to look silly
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Heh,
I admit its not the boldest prediction in the world. However what I am saying is that year or year a trend is about to be put in place and it won't look like gold or silver when you zoom out on the chart. There were will be only good years or only bad years going forward.
Bitcoin is a fucking nightmare in terms of climate (Score:2, Informative)
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Now we hunt whales under the false guise of scientific research [slashdot.org]
Re: Bitcoin is a fucking nightmare in terms of cli (Score:1)
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too big to fail (Score:1)
Same Dribble (Score:1)
So this ETF is based on futures (Score:2)
Health (Score:1)
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