Libya Warns Against Use of Facebook 146
An anonymous reader writes "Many Libyan Internet activists have declared their support for the pro-democracy movements and revolutions in the Middle East. After seeing the power of the people succeed in Tunisia and Egypt, they created groups on Facebook to call for political and economic reforms in Libya. Libya's dictator, Muammar Gaddafi, has responded by warning against the use of Facebook."
There are many reasons to beware of Facebook. (Score:5, Insightful)
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The printing press was not good for authoritarians. Neither is online collaboration. [wikipedia.org]
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All governments reflect the will of the majority, except in the very short term. No dictator could stand without popular support. This horrible truth makes "Western Democracy" a polite facade for the same experience everyone's endured since one guy first discovered he could win friends and influence people.
Re:There are many reasons to beware of Facebook. (Score:5, Insightful)
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I don't think preventing people from accessing Facebook will do any good. The Libyan govt needs to keep people away from Twitter, email, etc. What they really need to do is just shut off the Internet completely...that would get them where they want to be.
What? Why's everyone looking at me? Why wouldn't that work???
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Or his secret police are too effective.
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If you're talking about the Libyan army, last I checked the Russians made T-72's and T90's. Also, we don't exactly have a warm and fuzzy relationship with Libya. Bahrain has some US hardware, but the M60 Patton and the M113 APC aren't exactly the cutting edge of armor; they both came out in the 60s. And if you think Bahraini protesters should hate the US on the basis of military hardware, might I suggest that they also hate the British, French, Swiss, Swedish, and Germans for the same.
I'm not sure, but I th
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I'm not sure, but I think the tanks that the Egyptian army did not turn on protesters are a combo of American and old Soviet tanks.
That's the way I understand it, if memory serves me correctly, in the late 70s or 80s USATACOM [army.mil] was busy installing US M60A1 turrets on Soviet built T72 tank hulls for the Egyptians, so some would even be hybrids of the two.
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So you are saying, if a country has a dictator, that country deserves to have a dictator? Can you explain what factors make a populace acquiesce to a dictator, and what make them revolt? That would be more helpful than stopping your analysis at "They support it or are too apathetic to revolt."
Re:There are many reasons to beware of Facebook. (Score:4, Interesting)
No, I'm not saying anyone "deserves" a dictator - I'm saying that the existence of a dictator/regime implies popular support for the dictator/regime. This doesn't mean the whole country supports the dictator; it may even be that the majority would prefer something different if it were presented to them but lack the imagination to think it up themselves (this is why propaganda is such an effective tool, both from within and without).
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"Popular support" usually implies a majority, I guess that was what threw me. But it appears you are saying that a dictator requires a certain amount of popular support, and a certain amount of apathy or lack of imagination. That I can agree with. I believe the real reason for this recent slew of revolts is the recent string of crop failures driving up food prices. Poorer people who are apathetic when bread is 50 cents a loaf can suddenly become very motivated when the price tops two dollars.
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I think what you are trying to say is "dictator implies some people support him". Like, if there is support from police and army, then what else do you need?
Even if 90% know that anything is better than this, but revolting means swift death, what do you expect? Maybe you believe in "liberty or death", but for lots of others it is more like "live to fight another day".
Thirds rule (Score:3)
There used to be a "rule of thirds" advocated by some historians of the French Revolution. For a revolution to happen, you needed at least 1/3 of the population to actively support it, no more than 1/3 actively opposed, and around 1/3 to be neutral (less if you had more than 1/3 supporting).
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Indeed. The tipping point is when the number of revolutionaries reaches the number of reactionaries, although you need enough manpower in the first place to effect change (whence the suggested limit of 1/3 neutral). This observations is anathema to the US, which has spent the last 65 years thinking people "need freeing".
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It was interesting at the conference. The speaker began by telling us that for the good of the seminar, we all had to switch seats. Nobody wanted to.
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True, of course. But the will of the majority can be bent, by propaganda. It can be coerced, by intimidation. A dictator cannot rule without the consent of the great majority of his people. That doesn't mean he's limited to nice means in getting it.
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I strongly disagree, having been lived in a dictatorship myself. A dictator may have the majority of votes on election, but to call it the will of majority would be a gross overstatement.
Any dictator creates an artificial environment where no strong opponent may ever become strong enough to oppose him. The govenment usually consists of weak officials chosen by their absolute loyalty instead of their abilities and skills. Any opposition leader who is becoming too strong in the eye of a dictator will be oppre
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All governments reflect the will of the majority
True to an extent, but the thing about will of the people is that it's easily manipulated if you control their access to information. In particular, if a dictator can fully control such in his country, he can ensure continued (and genuine) support of the majority. Then there's brainwashing through the education system, and so on. See also: cult of personality.
And that is the reason why Western democracies are fundamentally different. True, someone still controls the channels, but so long as 1) those are dif
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Re:There are many reasons to beware of Facebook. (Score:4, Interesting)
Unfortunately so. Just as today, capitalism is the will of the majority (sell what enough people want), and poverty is the method of purging the undesirables - whether by keeping them wage slaves or simply letting them die off through lack of good security and healthcare. It's not that there are alternatives - the outcome is inevitable, whatever label you put on your political or economic system.
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You're describing the beginning of the process. The end result in any market is a few dominant players, often cooperating, to satisfy the vast majority. It is possible for a few irrelevant small businesses to struggle along temporarily ("successful" is rose-tinting it), all vigorously defending the system because each dreams to become a big player.
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Booger pickers.
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So you're only successful if you're a big, multinational corporation? There are plenty of businesses that don't struggle to survive and aren't huge. There are also plenty of huge businesses that are struggling.
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So you're only successful if you're a big, multinational corporation?
Relative to the big, multinational corporation, yes.
There are also plenty of huge businesses that are struggling.
Because they're either no longer popular or they've fucked up their management. Popularity is necessary for success (gov or com) but not sufficient.
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Wrong.
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"computing industry" is not a single market.
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You're not very good at this. "Computer hardware" is such a vague, overarching term that it's embarrassing you propose a market for "computer hardware". You need to do it like this:
Market for general purpose CPU: Intel, ARM, (AMD).
Market for desktop operating systems: Microsoft, Apple.
Market for search engines: Google, Yahoo, Microsoft.
Market for smart mobile phone operating systems (much newer market - this still varies quite a bit): Google, Apple, Nokia, Blackberry.
If you think even half a dozen competito
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Avoid Prison & more (Score:2)
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They're shooting Facebook users? Perhaps it's worth highlighting the dangers of Twitter and Yahoo in Libya too? That's worth considering.
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Enabling people to openly speak their minds and to enable reform to happen within their governments when they object to the way that things are being run has been shown to create dialogs to enable peaceful change to happen.
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Nothing to see here, move along.....
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Your administrator has set your Sonicwall router to do that explicitly. Sonicwall as a corporation isn't blocking Facebook for all the world, your IT guy is. Take it up with him. Maybe your boss thinks you're dicking around too much on the internet.
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Does anyone know what Gaddafi actually said?
Here we go again (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Here we go again (Score:4, Funny)
LIKE!
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POKE!
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Then Warn Against the Internet! (Score:5, Interesting)
The "old guard" has no clue. Stiffling communication today will not work much longer.
The free information exchange makes people want to be free.
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Free information exchange? Yes, because EVERYONE wants to know you're playing farmville, taking a crap and poke you!!
People forget that facebook is just a website, geesh... Unfurl the flags, log-in on facebook!!
Re:Then Warn Against the Internet! (Score:5, Interesting)
I wouldn't bet on that. You sure do not hear about any protests in North Korea.
I fear that the dictators of the world have learned well from this. If you are going to be a dictator be a brutal ruthless dictator. Watch the news and will see that now when protesters show up tanks will too and not a show of force but as brutal force.
It is easy to talk about an uncrushable human spirit when you do not have a tank crushing your, your wife's, and or you children's bodies. Yep the old guard has learned well. No half measures anymore. If you are going to rule then rule with a brutal iron fist. Welcome to the world of unintended consequences. The results of the Internet revolution may be getting ride of the just moderately bad dictators but creating more really brutal ones.
BTW just to be clear I REALLY HOPE I TURN OUT TO BE WRONG.
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The problem is, as a dictator, you have two choices: you can either give them computers and allow them to have communication, or you can stifle them like North Korea, and end up impoverished. Keeping citizens ignorant is not a plan for economic growth. North Korea still manages to get by, but how long before the people get tired of starving to death?
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North Korea still manages to get by, but how long before the people get tired of starving to death?
Practically indefinitely, so long as you can keep them thinking that this is normal state of affairs (i.e. explain that people are starving even worse under capitalist yoke on the other side of the border etc). Which is precisely why you keep all communication channels down for the population at large.
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Or there are more people who support the dictator than oppose him. There are quite a few North Koreans (and Chinese) who believe the propaganda of their government and fully support them.
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when you don't know where your next meal is coming from, you generally don't have a lot of energy to put into public protests.
Seems to me that's a perfect time to start thinking about public protest. Rising food costs and unemployment were major factors sparking the unrest in Egypt, Jordan, Tunisia, etc.
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That is just it. To have a real revolution you must have some hope of victory and frankly living to see it. People in the west and even slightly free nations really do not get it.
If you see masses of people being killed you will not join them. Look at the very limited resistance in European nations durring WWII. The movies really over blow the size of the resistance. The French resistance was actually pretty minnor until liberation was near at hand. AKA they thought they had chance to live to see victory.
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So you neglect the fierce resistance of partisans and underground in Belarus which have lost almost a *third* of its population during the war (unlike Holocaust that tragedy remains relatively unknown) and praise Norway which faired pretty well under German rule with most population going on with their daily lives (you can't really compare several thousands Norwegian causalities with a few millions dead Belarusian people)?
It did not help Germans that they have slaughtered entire villages in Belarus and Ukra
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Come_and_See [wikipedia.org]
Haunted me for weeks afterwards.
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As for Warsaw uprising -- I tend to believe Churchill when he said that the uprising was started prematurely and with no coordination with the Red Army.
This is true (the military leaders of the uprising have remarked, before it began, that they had no hope for success without Soviet intervention), though not for the lack of trying - it's just that Poles were turned down whenever they suggested it. The point however was that by the time it began, Soviet Army had no real reasons not to intervene, other than political (Polish forces in the city were largely aligned with anti-Soviet government-in-exile). So while they didn't have any formal obligation to do so
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I don't think so, after the "Bagration" offensive operation the communication lines of the Red Army were overstretched, it needed time to regroup in order to be able to continue the push on the Germans. The vanguard could not force crossing the Vistula on its own. Besides, the Germans have started counter-attacks trying to make use of that situation.
As for the Poles that were allegedly turned down -- just two days before the uprising began a polish representative met with Stavka officers but failed to menti
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That's not as easy as it may sound. You need to be evil to be a brutal ruthless dictator, but that's not enough - you also need to be able to convince others that they are better off following you (even if the majority of the population is not). If the basis of your system is an ideology, then you can't easily make changes which go counter that ideology. You also need to arrange yourself with other power structures within your realm - it's rare that you have all the power to begin with.
If you look at Burma
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There are exceptions but for the most part you are wrong. Dictators don't like people pointing out they are being naughty and killing people. Amnesty International would have absolutely no power or authority if it wasn't for that fact. They work to shame repressive regimes by publicizing the crimes in the free world. Such publicity causes diplomatic and other problems such as travel bans. And that's the kicker, even though they rule whatever backwater place, they take their vacations in Europe and even if t
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"Some of the Dictators like Ghadafi might get more aggressive but the majority are going to have issues doing it because it will crimp their own lifestyles and impact their families."
More than getting kicked out of power?
As I said some will get over thrown but some will become far more brutal.
I fear that a lot more will become far more brutal.
http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/02/201121714223324820.html [aljazeera.net]
for example
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http://www.google.ca/search?hl=en&tbs=nws:1&&sa=X&ei=QqBdTdy2L4-asAO00NnLCA&ved=0CCEQBSgA&q=Protests+in+Bahrain+killed+as+they+slept&spell=1 [google.ca]
Re:Then Warn Against the Internet! (Score:5, Insightful)
People don't want to be free, they want the illusion of freedom while being kept safe, The Internet isn't making people want freedom, it's showing them behind the curtain and the corruption there.
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Stiffling communication today will not work much longer.
I don't see why it can't, though. The internet doesn't exist in a vacuum any more than printing presses did. SOMEONE is doing the work to keep it going in places that need it. Should they stop, it stops.
P2P cellphone/mifi networks can help, but they're still just electronic tools. Adequate state power can oppress anything, just not, perhaps, forever. (Likewise, adequate vigilance can liberate people at any time - just not, perhaps, forever.)
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Apparently, neither does the new gaurd.
Facebook played little role in what happened, for some retarded reason, the same reason as the Google guy, it gets publicized like it brought down the evil Egyption dictator.
The reality of it is, it was the people who actually got off their asses and made their feeling known that changed Eygpt. Not Facebook, not some Google talking head who happens to live there.
Facebook doesn't even deserve an honorable mention. More people showed up because of telephone calls from
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Yeah, they hate when you do that.
Dictator wars (Score:1)
Well if Gaddafi thinks i will take care of his farmville while he cleans this mess up he has another thing coming!
Obligatory (Score:2)
Now Gaddafi and Streisand are in the same club. I hope they get along.
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just how many ways DOES he spell his name? (Score:1)
Like is it Gaddafi, Khadafy, Qadhafi, Qathafi, Gadaafi, Qadhdhafi, or something else?
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Re:Gaddafi, Khadafy, Qadhafi, Qathafi, Gadaafi (Score:2)
We need the legendary remixer of Ballmer's Developers to do a sequel.
Gaddafi, Khadafy, Qadhafi, Qathafi, Gadaafi, Qadhdhafi!
Come on!!
Re:just how many ways DOES he spell his name? (Score:4, Informative)
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Clever, except that I can name at least four different methods of romaji, each of which have their own deep flaws and a lot of areas where they simply don't agree. This is how we got "Japan" out of "Nippon", after all.
Even if you do select a particular romaji method, you're still without a way to properly translate moras, pitch, and some of the subtly different sounds (like the "r" people so love to make fun of). Which brings us to the GPs point: there is no way to directly translate Japanese, but we hav
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Japanese is spoken in a dozen of dialects [wikipedia.org], they also use four different writing system [wikipedia.org].
I am not suprise there is multiple romaji method, it only match the diversity and complexity of the Japanese language. The fact that there is many romanji method do not invalidate the sytem. Native japanese writing system, wich also come from china and maybe korea, faild in the exact same way. This is why they got so many writing system.
You and the anonymous coward are both worng. Considering there is so many version of "
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You and the anonymous coward are both worng. Considering there is so many version of "japanese", there is a direct way to converting "some" Japanese to roman letter.
Okay, perhaps we are lacking some mutual clarity in what we consider a direct romanisation. If you simply want a mapping from Japanese onto roman characters, then Nippon-shiki will grant that. However, I consider this lacking because, if you follow its pronunciation you will be mispronouncing a lot of things in any dialect I've heard. This is how we run into the Nippon->Japan problem. Hepburn, which would probably be my romaji of choice if I wanted to present to an primarily-English-speaking audience
there goes Lybia - don't they learn a thing...? (Score:3)
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"Syria is stable. Why?" Mr. Assad said. "Because [the dictator has to] be very closely linked to the beliefs of the people. This is the core issue. When there is divergenceyou will have this vacuum that creates disturbances."
He's probably right.
The lesson other dictators learned, like Kadafi in Libya, is to be proactive in countering the revolution. [latimes.com] Organize counter-protests (Iran is trying that tactic too, we'll see if it works). Use violence when necessary. Arrest key people. The Egyptians didn't use violence, the lesson other d
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The Egyptians didn't use violence, the lesson other dictators learned is to use more violence.
Probably because the Egyptians weren't nearly as bad off as the others.
Perhaps the fact that the leader realized he wasn't going to last, and backed of rather than making it a blood bath.
I realize I don't know jack shit about the guy or what he's done to them, but it would appear to me that he wasn't trying all that hard (in an evil way) to stop what happened. We've certainly seen FAR FAR worse done to people in the last 10 years for the exact same reasons.
One could also argue that the fact that the people
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I realize I don't know jack shit about the guy or what he's done to them, but it would appear to me that he wasn't trying all that hard (in an evil way) to stop what happened
Indeed, it may be some consolation, that if the US chooses allies who are dictators, at least we choose the ones who aren't too evil.
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I mean, it's not like, duh, obvious or something? Left and right dictatorships are sucumbing to public protest, riot and facebook. And they *all* did the very same thing first, restrict the ways in which citizens can organize themselves, which in turn angried the citizens even more, and the whole thing totally spirals out of control. Dear would-be dictator of some soon to come fledgling and hopeful dictatorship. If you let it get as far as that you have to forbid people from using facebook, you're doing it wrong.
I'm afraid the reality is not as you paint it. In the real world absolutely nobody starts a revolution for the sake of "freedom", "democracy" or any such nonsense. When they do it's because they've been made dirt poor and struggling to get food on the table. The "freedom" and "democracy" shit is just a rationalization after the fact that flatters their ego after they've been humiliated (and so leaving themselves open to be even more humiliated by democratic governments that flatter their ego while they stea
The Will Of The People (Score:1)
Stupid question (Score:2)
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Right, because thats totally different than using SSH over your standard connection. Theres no way they can tap the tower and see your SSHing or anything!
First Tweeted by @Muammar? (Score:1)
How did they get the message out?
great minds (Score:1)
I gotta say, with the exception of this (and of course all things fashion-related), Gaddafi and I don't agree on much.
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The nonviolent approach wont work on Libya or Iran (Score:1)
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DING!
We have a winner.
Couldn't have said it better myself, and I tried.
Alright you Libyan geeks, time to diversify (Score:2)
It's time to diversify. Facebook is quick and easy to set up groups and organize. Woo. But as the article points out, it's also an easy target. But the Internet is bigger then that. Make your own page, conscript a forum somewhere, run a chat server, or a BBS for that matter. Tell people about it. Link to it. Replicate posts from one system to another. Use the full force of the Internet. There's n
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Wikilieaks (Score:1)
How is this different from our government saying people should not look at the Wikileaks site?
False Report (Score:2)
It is interesting that the article has no quote where Gaddafi makes this statement. I believe it is being made up by the press to encourage the use of Facebook. I think even Gaddafi knows that the best way to get someone to do something is to tell them they shouldn't.
sucks when they have a good idea (Score:2)
for a wrong situation.