Piracy Boosts Anime Sales, Says Japanese Government Study 199
An anonymous reader writes "A new study seems to confirm what a lot of the Slashdot crowd thinks, and the opposite of what the **AAs say: 'A prestigious economics think-tank of the Japanese government has published a study which concludes that online piracy of anime shows actually increases sales of DVDs. The conclusion stands in sharp contrast with the entertainment industry's claims that "illicit" downloading is leading to billions of dollars in losses worldwide. It also puts the increased anti-piracy efforts of the anime industry in doubt.' More specifically, '(1) YouTube viewing does not negatively affect DVD rentals, and it appears to help raise DVD sales; and (2) although Winny [a popular P2P program in Japan] file sharing negatively affects DVD rentals, it does not affect DVD sales.'"
Has anyone ever seen a decent study on this? (Score:2)
I wonder if this is generally true or a special case.
Otaku are odd people. My kind of people – but still – not what I would call a representative example.
And from a western perspective – I hear the arguments about fan subs. Do they steal revenue? Do they help indentify shows that should be professionally dubbed and released. Or is it a non issue because the shows would never have been released? Probably a mixture of all 3.
Has anyone ever seen a decent study on this? Have not had the time
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In general the quality of the fansubs is worlds beyond what get's "sold."
If you want me to buy it, put some money/time/talent/effort into your dubs or subtitles. Otherwise, I'm just going to go find a fansub and enjoy it that way.
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It should identify what should be released over here, but it never is*.
* If it** is released then it's a shitty dub. If they do add subs, it's auto-translated and therefore horrible.
These days, pretty much every speedsub that is released is better than official Western releases. If y
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While I generally prefer subs, there have been a few dubs that I think were worth it. The Bebop and Baccano dubs are excellent.
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I thought the GiTS:SAC dubs were good.
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Black Cat also seems to have a better English dub then the original Japanese audio, but maybe its because the Japanese audio casting just makes me laugh...
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Now now there's no need to insult. There's room enough on the thread for you to prove that your opinion is the absolute standard, without resorting to such inelegant attacks.
Why exactly do you despise the bebop dubs?
anime may be a bad sample subject (Score:4, Interesting)
due to the very large crowd of fansubbers and their fans. Almost universally, fansubbing groups place recommendations at the start/intercession/end of their subs urging their audience to buy the anime when it becomes licensed in their area. Many also suggest that everyone cease distribution of the series at that point as well.
Hard to say how many listen to that, but I know I've ordered box sets when they became available in my area, entirely because I was able to watch the fansubs and enjoyed the series and wanted higher quality and the extras they tend to ship with, and I know many others like me that way.
I'll hit up the anime fansubbing sites every week or two, and download a few eps of what's popular, and I go from there to decide what series I follow. It's too bad more things can't work that way normally.
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Which largely amounts to nothing. The number of fansub viewers so wildly outweighs the number of buyers it's ridiculous and shows keep getting distributed no matter what.
The worst part are people who whine about what is being made, have shows
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Which largely amounts to nothing. The number of fansub viewers so wildly outweighs the number of buyers it's ridiculous and shows keep getting distributed no matter what.
Really? Source? That's almost shocking to hear, as my experiences have been so drastically different. I'd be interested to see that survey or study. Additionally, it would go pretty counter to the article above as well.
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Well I can't read the article in question, as the site is blocked here at work. However others I know who are reading it state that the article contradicts the headline.
And my statement is primarily derived from my experience in the community, which seems to largely consist of whiny fans who hate to spend money on their hobby because "they show it on TV for free!"
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Perhaps it's an age or regional thing then. The last fansub circle I was in was in the mid-20's to mid-30's demographic which had a pretty stout "Buy it when it comes out in the states" stance.
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I will download anything I like and then immediately buy it when it becomes available in my region. I have been known to even buy multiple editions and will always buy special editions should they be available. I use online and/or pirated material primarily as a screening resource. Since there is so much material out there there is no reason to watch anything that I don't greatly enjoy and if I greatly enjoy it, I want to support the creators and very likely watch it again and/or loan it out to some fr
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I've bought several anime series because they became available on fansubs.
I've also started watching some on TV because of fan subs.
However- I won't buy Anime which
a) is overpriced (please-- $24 for 4 of 80 episodes? TV shows cost $20 for 18 to 24 episodes. That's a reasonable price for anime. Plus- do the math... $24*20 = $480 for one anime show. A bit unreasonable).
b) I'm never going to watch again. I used to do this. I used to buy regular hollywood material too. But I realized I wasn't watching t
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How much does the condition the professional releases are in impact this?
Often the shows are edited into childrens' cartoons or at the very least drastically changed.
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I tend to see the opposite. I have a number of series here that were censored when originally broadcast, having either small parts of a scene removed, or sometimes entire scenes. Those are present on the DVDs however. (Onegai Teacher is one example)
One thing that annoys me there is that the fansubs are often more accurate or make more sense
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Really these people like dubbing?
I do not watch anime really, but in foreign films I much prefer subtitles. Dubbing always looks distractingly wrong.
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This isn't entirely true, certainly not anymore. And I say this as a subtitle fan. I've seen enough clips, and entire episodes (granted, of stuff I saw subbed first...) and the dubbing these days is actually pretty damned good. The quality is improving over time. And that can only be a good thing. Should I ever want to intruduce a non-subtitle watcher to a new show, I can do it without my ears bleeding. ;-)
I think it mainly comes down to personal preference.
My interest in an
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I really like watching the English sub titles with English dubs, its amazing where they differ.
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Agreed. It's interesting to see what gets changed. I'm learning more japanese every day, and I occasionally spot translation mistakes which can be fun.
On rare occasion I watch anime english dubbed because the japanese voice actors were poorly chosen. Hellsing is an excellent example. Among other things, Alfred, the 160 lb beanpole of a butler, sounds like a sumo wrestler.
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While fansub viewers may greatly outnumber buyers, buyers who watch fansubs greatly outnumber those that don't. Without fansubs there would be almost no market for anime outside of Japan. Even the shows that actually make it to regular television generally have fansubs to thank for their popularity.
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Good point - downloaders are often teenagers who can't and won't pay for anything. As long as a few are still buying, then it's free advertising, right? And they'll buy the merchandise as well - ask George Lucas how that can work out.
But the US "entertainment" industry isn't interested in free advertising. The US entertainment industry doens't care if the artists make money. They want to control the whole channel - advertising, promotions, dodgey deals with reviewers, blocking distibuters who sell independe
The price of tea in China (Score:5, Informative)
The article specifically mentions Japanese releases and sales within Japan. I don't think fansubbing has any relevance in this specific case.
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Not entirely irrelevant. I've imported some anime / games that will likely never get an R1 release because of fansubs. I have also purchased books and manga at Kinokuniya that I would not have never bothered with otherwise as a result.
In that regard, fansubs directly results in the purchase of the Japan versions of BDs/DVDs/games/books.
I admit this is a very, very small percentage and not what most people are talking about here when they talk about fansubs, but in some small way, it does help profits.
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but extremely unlikely to remotely impact this study.
Sampling (Score:2)
Personally I like to sample an episode or two before I buy a box set, but the quality of anime viewing on YouTube just sucks. Video is far too low bandwidth to be clean. But it's good enough for a preview to decide if you like the writing and voice acting.
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If you want the highest quality, you'd better stick with the fansubs... They're generally much better than the commercial subtitles, both in the translation an in the typesetting/editing.
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You sure know a lot about this topic.
Pirated copies are good for viewing... (Score:2)
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Exactly. A good analogy would be geeks who buy the Blu-ray edition of Star Trek TV series- the shows are exactly the same as they were 50 years ago. The fans aren't buying the 'new edition' so that they can watch it for the 10th time. They are buying it for collection sake.
Anime are aired on TV weekly, and if you missed that, there are always online illegal streaming sites that you can catch. Downloading the episode is just another way to watch.
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Trek was shot on film. So there is some potential there for gaining something from a Blu Ray release.
It's much like any other movie of it's era.
Whether or not there's any point to seeing Trek in all of it's 35mm glory is another matter. A couple of the Trek movies have gotten terrible reviews for video quality when they were released on BluRay. This is a potential issue with ANY BluRay title regardless of whether or not you have another copy already.
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Optimal media still exist? They're a thing of the past. They're not practical and they take place.
You can put thousands of them on a hard disk drive with easier access.
Also DVDs have crappy subtitles compared to what software softsubs can do.
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Example 2: FLCL.. 6 e
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Well... (Score:4, Insightful)
It says nothing about the real problem with copyright, the continual extension of terms. Disney got rich copying from Mark Twain, Bros. Grimm, Aesop, etc., yet wants to prevent others from doing the exact same to them. THAT is the problem. As Lawrence Lessig [lessig.org] has (unsuccessfully) argued, copyright exists to encourage the creation of works ("promote the progress of Science and the Useful Arts," in the US), and extending copyright on existing works does nothing to achieve that.
I have no problem with laws protecting IP for limited periods (relative to the useful lifetime - longer for philosophical works, shorter for technological ones), but I do have a problem with keeping those works from the public domain indefinitely.
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because they copyright holders use the fake number to create stricter laws, and harsher punishment They sue them in order to get the FBI to storm peoples homes.
That's why it matters. So people can be informed and shoot down those BS arguments.
Most people pay for what they get. Every song on iTunes can eb found, quite easily, on a torrent somewhere. all of them. Yet Apple sells Billions of songs.
I Agree with you the copyright is far too long. I'm not argue that at all.
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Whether it's good or bad, it's still copyright infringement. The most this study could argue for is to encourage copyright holders to ignore piracy. It does not provide an excuse, or even a rationalization, for piracy. If you're looking for an ethical out, this isn't it.
The only justification for the existence of copyright is to "promote the progress of science and the useful arts". If copyright fails to do that, then any claim to moral legitimacy of copyright law is null. It may not provide a legal excus
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>>>If you're looking for an ethical out, this isn't it.
I have an ethical out: Hollywood won't let return these that are crap. Even candybar makers advertise, "Satisfaction guaranteed or return for a refund." Why can't CD and DVD sellers make the same promise? So I download to avoid throwing-away my money on shit movies (like transformers 2). I would buy this stuff legally if T2 was returning, but since it isn't, and I don't want to throw-away $20, I watch it first before buying.
And don't try t
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You're looking at it the wrong way, I think.
A business, which manga and anime production are very much, is into it for the money, not for some philosophical goal of obtaining a 1 viewer to 1 buyer ratio at any cost.
So if ignoring piracy makes more money then a good business would ignore the piracy and make more money.
Re:Well... (Score:4, Insightful)
And what exactly is wrong with copyright infringement?
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Tell me why a person has no right to profit from their labor, and I'll answer your question.
It's not an issue of "has no right to profit from their labor". It's an issue of "has no right to always profit any time any person anywhere views/listens to the work they produced".
The media companies aren't in danger of going bankrupt, despite their constant whining and moaning about how piracy is killing their business. They are still quite profitable. They just aren't making the profits they *think* they should be making, based on the assumption that anytime anyone, anywhere, views/listens to a work
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Because they only have the right to try to profit from their labor. I sometimes use my labor to play video games and no one pays me. Same with most of my software development and any art I create. You have no entitlement to profit.
Tell me why a government granted monopoly is the only way they can do that?
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Re:Well... (Score:4, Insightful)
Tell me why a person has no right to profit from their labor, and I'll answer your question.
The product of your labour is only valuable due to the fact it includes huge portions of the public culture's resources.
Language - Did you invent the language your work is produced in? Did you invent the concepts and notions of word play, drama, suspense or modern cinematic treatments thereof?
No. You are standing on the shoulders of giants -- In proportion to your own work, the inclusion of the public culture's resources far outweighs your contribution to any thought-product protected by copyright.
Many Inventions are far more creative and/or useful than the works of film-makers or authors, yet the former only receive a ~20 year monopoly with which they may profit from their creations. Copyright holders enjoy a monopoly over their creations for Lifetime + 70 years -- THAT'S TWO GENERATIONS OF HUMANS AND THEIR CULTURE!
The original intent of copyright law was not to prevent the general public from making reproductions, or remixes of a copyrighted work. Originally, copyrights were enacted to prevent Publishers form abusing the public and creators of works -- Publishing contracts currently provide them an end-run around this. Copyright laws have been turned against the general public and the content authors. Copyright violations are so prevalent largely due to the fact that copying is so cheap that reproductions are essentially in infinite supply -- Economics 101: Regardless of production cost; Price tends toward zero as supply increases to infinity.
I do not have a license to make reproductions of a DVD, yet it must surely be duplicated at least FOUR TIMES PER VIEW (once within the DVD SATA cache, once in main RAM, another in my VIDEO CARD, and a fourth on my monitor's display). I must break copyright laws under which you operate completely no less than 4 times to consume your works; That's what I call irrelevant laws. (Note, only recently have I been allowed to legally view most DVDs on Linux -- I compiled the player myself == unlicensed player).
The very state of the culture itself is what makes your product have worth.
Please explain how much worth any thought-media is in proportion to the entire human culture's collective contribution to said work. Please explain how relevant pay-per copy models are now that copies are in infinite supply. Please explain to me why basic economic principals do not apply to industries that profit from copyright.
When you can fully explain to me why continued abuse of the general public is allowed instead of reformation of the ancient copyright laws considering that 200 years of technological advancement have made the laws irrelevant, then I'll extrapolate the amount you may earn by producing those works -- It may be a negative amount due to the harm that abused copyright laws have caused the public.
If not for "piracy" there would be no incentive to change the model -- The Piracy epidemic exists because modern technology has rendered the pay-per-copy model irrelevant.
I agree that creators should be compensated for their works, but I do not agree to TWO GENERATIONS OF MONOPOLY for works that are only a small fraction original. I can see why some would, in protest, ignore copyright laws in order to offset the absurdity of the state of copyright laws -- CAN YOU NOT?
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> Tell me why a person has no right to profit from their labor, and I'll answer your question.
There is no such right. You just made that up.
On the other hand, I do have a right to speak freely and control my own property. You should not be able to interfere with either.
Also, the "product of your own labor" is infact a product of the commons. That commons needs to be available for the next generation.
Creative works are not property. Any monopoly that is associated with them exists purely to increase the c
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> I have no problem with laws protecting IP for limited periods
Please refrain from using such an expression ("IP") for the following reasons:
1) It encompasses too different things (e.g., copyright and patents) and thus causes a lot of confusion because one can be misled to apply the same reasoning (and decisions!) to apples and oranges;
2) It opens an even larger breach to allow inclusion of even future, unconceivable legal constructs, thus leading society to a situation which can be frontally contrarian
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so what? Whether it's good or bad, it's still copyright infringement. The most this study could argue for is to encourage copyright holders to ignore piracy. It does not provide an excuse, or even a rationalization, for piracy. If you're looking for an ethical out, this isn't it.
Ethics is irrelevant of the law, so the fact that it's still copyright infringement doesn't affect whether it's good or bad.
I have no problem with laws protecting IP for limited periods (relative to the useful lifetime - longer for philosophical works, shorter for technological ones)
And inflict upon ourselves the hell of every copyright creator and their dog trying to claim their work, regardless of media or content, mysteriously falls under the category with the longest terms? or worse yet, *change* the work so it fits?
It'll be great seeing the protagonist of a comedy suddenly jump into a philosophical diatribe just so the studio can get a couple extra years out
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Thanks, this never clicked for me until now. Sure, I've heard people say how they "stole" these things, but that always came across as hyperbole because they never prevented anyone from reading the originals. But what you said puts the inconsistency in plain view: Mark Twain's work wasn't hundreds of years old when Disney made things based on it, yet the copyright extensions push
A Japanese government study? (Score:2)
Was it done by the Department in Charge of Gundam?
Anime FANSUBS create a market where there was none (Score:5, Insightful)
You think U.S. fans would know what to expect from a title like Bakemonogatari [wikimedia.org] is without having seen a fansub first?
Turns out that the aforementioned title is a popular romantic fantasy story about a young ex-vampire and the various supernatural girls he meets. Its title is probably best translated as 'Ghost Story'.
Despite the relative obscurity of both the story and the source material, It has a fairly strong U.S. fanbase that will likely make publishing a run of Region 1 DVDs profitable for both the Japanese and North American companies involved.
Without fansubs, that market simply wouldn't exist and everyone would miss out.
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It has a fairly strong U.S. fanbase that will likely make publishing a run of Region 1 DVDs profitable for both the Japanese and North American companies involved.
You can say that but I suspect the fanbase is, like most show-specific fanbases in Anime, small, vocal, and won't hesitate to find any excuse to not buy.
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Turns out that the aforementioned title is a popular romantic fantasy story about a young ex-vampire and the various supernatural girls he meets... Without fansubs, that market simply wouldn't exist and everyone would miss out.
I don't think Americans being unexposed to what sounds like a Japanese version of "Twilight" qualifies as "everyone missing out."
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Thankfully, nothing in Anime, even the worst stuff, is as bad or as outright shitty as Twilight.
Oh and what's with the damned FIVE MINUTE DELAY between posts, Slashdot? Are you trying to kill the site?
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That's cause the OP is a twit that didn't actually watch the show...
Main guy isn't an ex-vampire, he is the living food dispenser for a depressed loli vampire. And most of the girls he meets aren't supernatural, they're possessed.
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Main guy isn't an ex-vampire, he is the living food dispenser for a depressed loli vampire. And most of the girls he meets aren't supernatural, they're possessed.
You do an even worse job describing the show. He WAS an ex-vampire, and he only used the loli-vampire as a way to strengthen himself physically in a single story arc of the show, other than that she's just a side-character whose history is left as more a mystery to the viewer. The girls aren't possessed in the classic sense except for Hanekawa and possibly Hitagi. Hachikuji isn't even human to start with. It's more like they're being harassed by spirits.
Really this show has more in common with Mushishi than
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Actually, it's more like the X-Files on an LSD trip, without Scully and replacing the "aliens" excuse with ghosts.
I'd recommend you give it a try, it's fun stuff. Besides, you'd only need to watch a single episode, while there's *some* sort of Myth Arc overall the formula is pretty constant so if you don't like it, there's nothing that'd make you change your mind later.
Anime is priced beyond casual interest (Score:2)
This is a really good point. However, as someone else pointed out, the study seems to be talking about piracy in Japan affecting Japanese sales.
For me this is an even easier "duh". Japanese anime DVDs are ridiculously expensive. A single DVD (which might only hold 2 22 minute episodes) can be as much as $70 US. Nobody is buying these to watch them. They are buying them to have them. Downloading and burning a disk is *not* the same thing.
I once saw a an interview with Karl Lagerfeld . He was asked if
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You think U.S. fans would know what to expect from a title like Bakemonogatari [wikimedia.org] is without having seen a fansub first?
Turns out that the aforementioned title is a popular romantic fantasy story about a young ex-vampire and the various supernatural girls he meets. Its title is probably best translated as 'Ghost Story'.
Despite the relative obscurity of both the story and the source material, It has a fairly strong U.S. fanbase that will likely make publishing a run of Region 1 DVDs profitable for both the Japanese and North American companies involved.
Without fansubs, that market simply wouldn't exist and everyone would miss out.
You're doing it a disservice if you don't mention the comedy. I would describe its genre as supernatural - there's not that much romance in it (just a few episodes). The comedy is interwoven throughout, and thrives mostly due to the dialogue (which can still be appreciated even when translated). That said, the article specifically considered sales within Japan.
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The **AA is actually right (Score:3)
The **AA doesn't want to sell CDs and DVDs any longer. They are too expensive. They are already making like 1000% profit, but those costs of publishing are eating into their ability to get even more money. They want to "sell" content that expires in a short time so that people have to buy it over and over and over again while at the same time, the publishers don't have to manufacture anything at all!
They want their money for nothing and having to spend money to make it is a highly limiting factor... the difference between limited and limitless.
This is what they want. Make no mistake about it. And as long as digital copies without limits and expirations, there will be perceived losses.
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...and your chicks for free!.
1337 lawsuits? (Score:3)
The results of the study come at an interesting time. For years anime distributors where considered quite lenient towards piracy, but last week the American anime distributor Funimation announced lawsuits against 1337 alleged BitTorrent downloaders.
Wait, really?
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Yes, really. I think it says a lot about how serious they are about it.
artists are not doing bad though (Score:2)
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They pay Will Smith $20M per movie because having his name above the title will likely get about $20M from people that want to watch a Will Smith movie. Yeah maybe you don't like Will Smith (myself I'm Will Smith neutral) but there must be actors that you like and their involvement in a movie will make you more likely to go see the movie.
Yeah its ridiculous that the idiots on Jersey Shore get so much money. But people watch them for some reason and without those idiots they don't have a show and they don't
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There are thousands of actors that can act at least as well as Will Smith can, probably hundreds of thousands, perhaps even millions, I don't see why Will Smith (or any other actor) should make you more likely to watch a movie. The writing and direction is much more important to the success of a movie.
Anyways, our society is full of examples of people contributing little to society (stock traders come to mind) are paid millions, yet those who contribute a lot (nurses and teachers for instance) are often pai
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You can just make a better movie and only spend $20 million on it total and still come out ahead.
The problem with this is that such an approach is not considered a "sure thing" to a corporate mindset and bean counters with zero imagination are running the studios these days.
Anime sure... (Score:2)
This calls for the Obligatory Correlation... (Score:2)
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fansub fan for years (decade now?) (Score:2)
I love fansubs. Sheesh, I wouldn't of ever gotten into most the anime I have without it.
But besides getting new Anime fast with fansubs, there's another reason I like it better then dub versions.
American dub versions usually suck dog shit. They will dumb the plot down, change stuff to fit "american kids". Not cool with that.
Of course, i rely on the fansubbers to give me an accurate translation of what is said, which doesn't seem to always happen. But it's free, and I forgive them.
I have a buddy who lik
see tagline (Score:2)
been saying it for years
Being a Robotech fan circa 1992 (Score:2)
I was in LOVE with this series back then. I was like a trekkie geek for it. I watched it whenever I could get access to it on TV, played the RPG, bought the cheap Japanese knockoff toys, etc. But, because of downright extortion by Palladium games charging $10 dollars per EPISODE I never got to see the whole series when I was a big fan. I knew of networks of people trading anime back and forth, but I never went through with getting VHS tapes mailed to a fellow fan.
Finally, about 5 years ago I found the se
Anime is not representative (Score:2)
i might just play devil's advocate for a second and point out that anime really is not representative of the entire market,
anime fans actively collect anime. they'll download to see if the show is good, then buy up the whole series, plus merch, plus dress up and go to cons, plus buy the re-issues, the re-re-issues, and the blu-ray (that's an up-res of the re-re-issue DVD master), and then the reconstruction when it comes out.
these results and this market do not translate to the stuff that the **AAs pump ou
How did everyone miss the obvious joke? (Score:2)
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That's not true and, strictly speaking, not even wrong if you bother to analyze it. "causation in the given data set" is meaningless.
Re:Remember (Score:5, Interesting)
And legalizing everything [scientificamerican.com] and handing out heroin [economist.com] to addicts actually reduces drug addicts.
Don't expect Americans to actually take notice. They'll start imprisoning file sharers along with the drug users and promise it'll reduce piracy.
Re:Remember (Score:5, Insightful)
Ask ten people if having an mp3 is to be considered a penal offence, and then work out the probabilities that such laws passed around the world represent the opinion of the people.
I must have said it here already. RIAA and all the others do studies too. They know that their public position on piracy = theft is utter BS. They don't fear pirated stuff, they fear the cropping up of alternative channels for the fruition of media. Because then the market fragments and the consumer becomes the Chooser.
From a numeric point of view, that should not matter to them if they spend 10 million to produce and promote a band or spend them producing and promoting 10 bands, as long that they make up more than 10 millions in record sales. On the other hand, Art has often been about entertainment on the receiving end, about influence on the producing end, and I see no reason why this should have never happened after WWII propaganda efforts.
Re:Remember (Score:5, Insightful)
In 1930 if you asked 10 people if having some hemp should be a penal offence, you would have been laughed at. A couple of years later they renamed it and prohibited it. With a good propaganda campaign it didn't take long for most people to agree that possessing some marijuana should be a penal offence if not a capital crime.
It's amazing what you can get accomplished with control of the media and a good propaganda campaign.
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I'm a former cocaine and other substance user.... I got caught with cocaine, got a caution, and decided not to do it again (though I may have transgressed once or twice). I switched to mephedrone when it was legal (which is a very good drug, no matter what anyone says. No one has died because of it, the media circus around it was flat out wrong). I've dropped back to alcohol more since mephedrone was made illegal, and it's killing me. The only drug that has done me serious long term harm is alcohol...
T
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Crap... mod me down to oblivion O/T. This is what comes from posting while drunk.
On topic : Correlation _always_ implies something. Most of the time, correlation and causation go hand in hand, which is why some people cite it as a common fallacy. Correlation without obvious alterior similarities _does_ imply causation.
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Don't feel bad, most of the stuff posted by the editors was probably done when they had half a bottle of rum in them anyway.
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Don't expect Americans to actually take notice. They'll start imprisoning file sharers along with the drug users and promise it'll reduce piracy.
When everyone is in prison, who will pay the taxes?
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Occupied territories?
(disclaimer: I am a US citizen)
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Correlation does not imply Causation.
No, but it does waggle its eyebrows suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing 'look over there'. [xkcd.com]
Re:Remember (Score:4, Informative)
Disclaimer: I am not very well versed in statistics and have only just read the Wikipedia article on Instrumental variables.
On page 14, the report discusses the model they use, which is a linear system of the log of the four variables they're trying to find relationships between. They then discuss 4 instrumental variables as well as two dozen or so dummy variables that describe aspects of the actual show, like when it is aired on TV, whether they have related drama CDs, net broadcasts, whether the anime was an original work or based on manga, novels, games, etc., who the target audience was and how many regions the show have been broadcast in. Table 3 has the full list, and also includes what I assume to be slopes in log-log space from their analysis as well as a "t" factor for which I'm not sure about. The four main instrumental (non-dummy) variables are: DVD price (number of thousands of yen per episode, how long a video on YouTube persists ... while the series is airing, within 1 month of that particular episode airing, and after the series is finished airing).
Table 4 is a chart highlighting that there is a negative correlation with DVD price and DVD sales, but a positive correlation of DVD price and YouTube views. There were also positive correlations between how long a video managed to stay on YouTube after airing of the TV show has been completed and DVD sales, rentals and YouTube views, but a negative correlation with Winny downloads.
According to Wikipedia, use of instrumental variables is one way to see if there is actual causation between two variables. However, I'll leave it to someone more well-versed in the subject to see if the report is accurate or not.
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At least he reached out to you instead of calling the copyright "police" immediately.
related to CDs? (Score:2)
Maybe this is just correlation without causation, but perhaps this is related to how/why Japanese CDs are also more expensive than they are in the West.
That happens with the Japanese editions of CDs by Western artists, let alone stuff that's only available natively from Japan.
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