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Ars Examines Outlandish "Lost To Piracy" Claims and Figures 380

Nom du Keyboard writes "For years the figures of $200 billion and 750,000 jobs lost to intellectual property piracy have been bandied about, usually as a cudgel to demand ever more overbearing copyright laws with the intent of diminishing of both Fair Use and the Public Domain. Now ARS Technica takes a look into origin and validity these figures and finds far less than the proponents of them might wish."
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Ars Examines Outlandish "Lost To Piracy" Claims and Figures

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  • by Ethanol-fueled ( 1125189 ) * on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:05PM (#25317483) Homepage Journal
    If you're pirating recent then nothing of value is lost :)
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by bonch ( 38532 )

      You're losing sales. That's pretty valuable to somebody trying to make a living off of it.

      Besides, when has the Slashdot community ever avoided using the phrase "stolen GPL code" even though you can't steal code? People seem to split hairs only when it suits their agendas...

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        I meant to imply that if you pirate any of the crappy movies, TV shows, or music made recently, then nothing of value(the crappy stuff) is lost to them.

        People used to pirate stuff they'd pay for. The lastest stuff is so shitty that no sane person would pay for it! Oh, wait...
        • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

          by bonch ( 38532 )

          If it's crappy, why is getting pirated? That doesn't make sense.

          • by HungryHobo ( 1314109 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:51PM (#25318197)

            because while it isn't worth money to those people it is just above a youtube video of someone lighting their farts and staring at the wall, in that order.
            They wouldn't spend their money on it even if there was no piracy is all it means.
            How is this concept so very very very hard for certain people to understand.

            Also- downloading a movie off TPB is less effort than going to the video rental place.
            Simple as that.
            Even if the video rental place halved their prices it would still be more effort to go there.

            Hell I have no problem paying a subscription- I pay for a rapidshare account. It's convenience that matters to me and TPB is very very convenient for people. And since the rights holders seem to be represented by idiots who didn't jump in faster services like TPB and Rapidshare got there first and are now well dug in.

          • by Gewalt ( 1200451 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:55PM (#25318281)

            If it's crappy, why is getting pirated? That doesn't make sense.

            Because civil disobedience is an excellent way to show your disapproval of bad business models.

            • by bonch ( 38532 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @02:00PM (#25318379)

              If you honestly believe people are pirating games, movies, and music as a form of "civil disobedience" to stick it to the man, I don't know what to say. It's the same tired cultural revolution argument that's been trotted out for over a decade. The simpler truth is that human beings are selfish by nature, and if there's an easy way to get something for free without repercussion, they'll latch onto it and justify it any number of ways. Your argument, for instance, is a mental exercise in portraying other people as the bad guy, even though you're the one ripping off the artist. It's a huge leap, but people make it all the time so they don't feel like they're doing something wrong.

              Besides, what "bad business model" are you referring to? The one where you make something and try to sell it? The industries have already adopted internet distribution models through iTunes, Steam, and so forth. What more do you want?

          • by GweeDo ( 127172 )

            Its like baseball cards for kids these days. They just have to have all the music whether it is good or not. Reminds me of a guy in Junior High that we called ISO boy...he would download and burn anything he could find...not matter what it was.

          • by gilgongo ( 57446 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @03:49PM (#25320289) Homepage Journal

            If it's crappy, why is getting pirated? That doesn't make sense.

            Probably for the same reason as I read the crappy free daily news sheets they hand out on the subway: they're free, they pass some time, and if they bore me I can throw them over my shoulder without a second thought. Nothing lost, nothing gained.

            Oh, and nobody loses a sale :-)

      • by Nom du Keyboard ( 633989 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:57PM (#25318329)

        You're losing sales. That's pretty valuable to somebody trying to make a living off of it.

        You make the fallacy of equating every pirated instance to a lost sale. Many songs are copied that would never be bought otherwise, and the same applies to movies and software. People would simply go without at the price demanded for a legal sale, or find a cheaper alternative (listen less, FOSS, etc.). So to say that sales are lost to piracy is no more valid than flogging the figures of $200B and 750,000 jobs.

      • by sjbe ( 173966 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @02:15PM (#25318599)

        You're losing sales.

        Let's go through the logic of that shall we?

        1. Copyright holder sells Copyrighted Material
        2. Some individuals make unauthorized copies
        3. Copyright holder loses money because income is not received from unauthorized copies.

        Seems to make sense at first.

        Problem with that logic is that it typically implies that every instance of copying equals an instance of lost sales which is clearly and demonstrably not true. Someone who cannot afford the authorized copy will never purchase it so that cannot be a lost sale. Someone who is unwilling to pay the price being asked is likewise never going to be a lost sale. Ergo the only population in question is those who are able and willing to pay the price being asked but decide to pirate anyway. This is necessarily a smaller population.

        What really is being claimed is that copyright infringement cannibalizes a percentage of sales that otherwise *may* have come to the copyright holder. For digital works, the marginal cost of a copy is essentially zero so while the copyright holder may lose a sale, he/she/it doesn't lose any cash since they have not lost an asset they owned. It might induce a higher fixed cost per unit since fewer units are sold and the cost cannot be amortized over as many units. A problem to be sure but a very different issue.

        It also implies that unauthorized copying never results in purchases of authorized merchandise. It is relatively easy to find examples of products where bootleg/unauthorized copies actually helped drive the popularity of the product to the point where authorized copy sales increase.

        You'll notice the word theft never was mentioned because it isn't theft. This doesn't make the copyright infringement any more moral or legal but it does make it a different situation.

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        You're losing sales. That's pretty valuable to somebody trying to make a living off of it.

        So one industry is dying because of social attitude changes, while the money that industry lost was just spent on another part of the market which thanks to piracy is now booming and employeeing citizens.

    • by The Moof ( 859402 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:18PM (#25317699)
      Are you saying my boat is worth nothing?
      I may have to renegotiate the terms of my loan...
  • by pwnies ( 1034518 ) * <j@jjcm.org> on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:08PM (#25317529) Homepage Journal
    ...that the people who wouldn't have jobs if there was no piracy are the same people who discovered these numbers?
    • by againjj ( 1132651 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:52PM (#25318239)
      I especially like the quote near the end of the article (bold mine):

      Perhaps more importantly, both numbers are seemingly decades old, gaining a patina of currency and credibility by virtue of having been laundered through a relay race of respectable sources, even as their origin recedes into the mists. That's especially significant, because these numbers are always invoked as proof that the piracy problem is still dire--that everything we've done to step up international enforcement of intellectual property laws has been in vain. But of course, if you simply recycle the same numbers from 15 and 20 years ago--remember that IACC's 2005 publications still cite that 1995 congressional testimony, from which it seems safe to infer that they have no more recent source--then it will necessarily seem as though no ground has been gained.

      In other words, those standing to benefit are perpetuating the reuse of old numbers so to get ever more beneficial measures passed. Nice to see it stated, but I can't see anyone with clout (e.g. members of congress/their aides) actually reading this.

  • by Kethinov ( 636034 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:10PM (#25317553) Homepage Journal

    As I've said before, the actual losses are zero. An opportunity cost only exists when an opportunity exists in the first place. Nobody is crying foul that horse and buggy makers are out thousands of jobs and dollars due to the advent of cars.

    To content industry: the advent of the internet results in consumer p2p. It cannot be stopped. Deal with it. Do so by competing against it, not legislating against it.

    • bad analogy (Score:5, Insightful)

      by nomadic ( 141991 ) <nomadicworld@ g m a i l . com> on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:15PM (#25317663) Homepage
      Your analogy completely breaks down; buggy whip manufacturers went out business because demand vanished. Here, demand isn't vanishing.
      • Re:bad analogy (Score:5, Insightful)

        by mcgrew ( 92797 ) * on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:31PM (#25317907) Homepage Journal

        That's also where the would-be bit salesmen are full of it, too. The music industry has lost sales to independant labels and artists (most of whom WANT their work shared and use P2P to its full advantage), lost sales due to a prolonged and severe boycott of their wares, yet blame any downturn in sales to copyright infringement.

        They count each unpaid-for download as a lost sale, when in fact the vast, vast majority of these would NOT be sales even if copyright infringement were impossible. Peg Leg Pete downloads Madonna's "Lying Dickweeds", finds out it's utter dreck, and deletes it. Madonna's label screams "foul" and says a sale has been lost. College junior Blackbeard (who tries to make ends meet tending bar at night) downloads a copy of Photoshop that he could never afford, and Adobe counts it as a lost sale.

        In short, everyone bandying these numbers around are bald faced liars.

        • Don't bother. this never seems to get through to people.

          A download is not a lots sale.
          A million downloads and getting 1 sale you wouldn't have got otherwise is a gain.

          but these days business students get taught how to brown-nose not anything practical (unless you count that as practical)

    • As I've said before, the actual losses are zero. An opportunity cost only exists when an opportunity exists in the first place.

      That might be a good point except for the fact that the opportunity does exist. You're probably assuming that all those who are inclined to steal would steal no matter what, therefore record labels aren't losing anything they had an opportunity to gain in the first place. Unfortunately, that assumption is wrong because the ease-of-use of the internet has made many people download content without paying who would otherwise not walk out of a retail store with an unpaid-for album. Therefore, the internet do

    • by qoncept ( 599709 )
      As I've said before, the actual losses are zero. An opportunity cost only exists when an opportunity exists in the first place.
      Wrong. Guy X buys software. Before buying (as he intended) software 2.0, he finds an opportunity and pirates it. How did piracy not cost anything?

      Nobody is crying foul that horse and buggy makers are out thousands of jobs and dollars due to the advent of cars.
      I bet they were back when the people that were, you know, affected, were alive. Or maybe even when their children were
  • Scary, really (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Max Romantschuk ( 132276 ) <max@romantschuk.fi> on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:11PM (#25317587) Homepage

    Read TFA a few days ago... It's actually quite scary that lobbyists can throw around completely made up figures which convince lawmakers that we need law X for problem Y. There should be some kind of accountability for quoting random numbers...

    • by Intron ( 870560 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:17PM (#25317691)
      There should be a $150,000 fine enacted immediately to offset the damages.
    • by Yvan256 ( 722131 )

      <?=rand(1,99999999999);?>

    • Re:Scary, really (Score:4, Insightful)

      by whisper_jeff ( 680366 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:19PM (#25317715)
      I would think that there _is_ a punishment for lying to Congress... Now, if Congress would just call them on the lies...
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by gstoddart ( 321705 )

        I would think that there _is_ a punishment for lying to Congress... Now, if Congress would just call them on the lies...

        It's not a lie if you believe it.

        If someone creates a think-tank for the express purpose of coming up with a white paper to support your position, and you don't technically know (or want to know) that the think-tank is intellectually dishonest about their report, then you can go in front of Congress and say, in good faith, that to the best of your knowledge what you say is true. And, as e

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      Agreed. [xkcd.com]
      Major Premise: Wikipedia demands more citation than the US Government
      Minor Premise: No one really trusts what Wikipedia says
      I'll leave the conclusion up to you.
    • There should be some kind of accountability for quoting random numbers...

      Unless you can provide a statistical analysis showing that the algorithm that producted those numbers was reliable, you really shouldn't sully the good name of "random numbers" with such back-of-the-haynes estimates.

    • No kidding, that's why we need to insure the 40 odd million of uninsured people that... wait wrong article. >.

    • Statistical abuse (Score:4, Interesting)

      by Jabbrwokk ( 1015725 ) <.grant.j.warkentin. .at. .gmail.com.> on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:38PM (#25318017) Homepage Journal

      This sort of abuse of statistics happens all the time. Ars Technica's article was an excellent investigation into a very simple question - where do these numbers come from? It's scary how many government agencies just assumed they were true.

      However the question is more interesting than the answer because no one has bothered to ask it before. Everyone just assumes that because the numbers come from government sources, they must be legitimate. This question should have been asked years ago.

      Instead, as happens time and time again, this shows that if someone throws out a number with enough confidence, people will believe it. And once the number gets an air of legitimacy attached to it because of who's quoting it, no one will question it.

      It's speaking something into being that didn't exist before, and enough people believe in it it is, in essence, true. Like the Hogfather in Terry Pratchett's Discworld series [wikipedia.org].

    • Read TFA a few days ago... It's actually quite scary that lobbyists can throw around completely made up figures which convince lawmakers that we need law X for problem Y. There should be some kind of accountability for quoting random numbers...

      Well, in a world where "think tanks" come up with their own bogus numbers to support whatever bullshit claim they want, why should we be surprised by any of this?? Industries which need to prop up their position do this crap all of the time.

      Unfortunately, since peopl

    • by doomicon ( 5310 )

      What's more scary is lawmakers do this all the time and the sheep keep reelecting said lawmakers.

  • by MisterSquirrel ( 1023517 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:11PM (#25317595)
    And not to mention, the massive loss of dignity to Talk Like A Pirate Day.
  • so? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by nomadic ( 141991 ) <nomadicworld@ g m a i l . com> on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:12PM (#25317597) Homepage
    We all knew this; having a geek site say it doesn't mean much. Now, if the New York Times did an analysis and came up with the same information, and published it, that would actually be news.
    • Re:so? (Score:5, Interesting)

      by NeutronCowboy ( 896098 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:21PM (#25317763)

      What makes you think that the NYT has more credibility than Ars? Personally, I see it the other way around: I'm far less prone to double-checking Ars figures than NYT figures. That's because when I did so in the past, Ars figures were a lot more accurate than NYT figures - at least when it came to tech issues.

      Unless you mean that it would be nice for the MSM to pick it up. In which case I have news for you - the MSM hasn't been mainstream in about 2 years. Reader- and viewership numbers are down across the board for these entities, while numbers for blogs and radio talk shows are through the roof.

      • Re:so? (Score:5, Insightful)

        by gnick ( 1211984 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:41PM (#25318069) Homepage

        What makes you think that the NYT has more credibility than Ars? Personally, I see it the other way around: I'm far less prone to double-checking Ars figures than NYT figures. That's because when I did so in the past, Ars figures were a lot more accurate than NYT figures - at least when it came to tech issues.

        It's not about credibility - It's about mass acceptance. You may trust Ars more than the NYT, but like nomadic said - We all knew those numbers were garbage. I can't point my mom to Ars and convince her of anything, but NYT, CNN, MSN, etc would all work just fine. And, despite your "MSM hasn't been mainstream in about 2 years" assertion, I'll need a citation before I believe that the bulk of Americans are getting their news or placing their trust more in blogs/talk shows rather than "mainstream" news outlets.

        Won't somebody think of Joe Six-pack?!?

      • I don't think credibility is the only reason. Think of it this way; Geeks read Ars, but WE already know the answers to the question! For an intelligent bunch of geeks this debate is already self evident. Politicians and legislators unfortunately only read the NYT, so if you want to get the word out to where it really matters then NYT is where the story should be headlined. It doesn't make the NYT any better than Ars for getting the facts, but 'the mainstream media' is where the political change will ultimat
    • Have you RTFA? Obviously not, because they actually cite the sources they use (as in the first time that 750,000 jobs figure came up, decades ago). If you can find other evidence that invalidates this claim, theres a shitload of absence dollars to be made on your blog.

      This story was incredibly well researched, and was one of the better Slashdot stories I've seen in a while.

    • Now, if the New York Times did an analysis and came up with the same information, and published it, that would actually be news.

      Aside from mentioning that The National Enquirer broke both the John Edwards affair story and the Jamie Lynn Spears pregnancy stories and was ridiculed for both why the mainstream media tried to spike them (both turned out true), just what constituted trusted media today -- an old name, or results?

      Remember that the NYT also thinks that Barrack would make the best president.

  • by DoctorDeath ( 774634 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:12PM (#25317607)
    Just remember that 74% of all statistics are made up on the spot.
  • by corsec67 ( 627446 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:12PM (#25317609) Homepage Journal

    The first is the number of U.S. jobs supposedly lost to intellectual property theft

    I would estimate the number of jobs lost to intellectual property theft to be very little, and probably mostly due to patents.

    Please stop grouping trademarks, patents, and copyrights together.

    • Makes me wonder who really are the 'pirates'...

  • It's a ceiling estimate that exists somewhere in the infinite field of unfolding possibility... but it's usually not real in terms of the laws of this dimension.

  • Free Culture (Score:5, Informative)

    by LingNoi ( 1066278 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:14PM (#25317639)

    Lawrence Lessig's book Free Culture [free-culture.cc] goes into detail about this subject and comes to the conclusion that it's a load of bullshit made up by the media companies.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Garwulf ( 708651 )

      I've tried to read Free Culture a couple of times, and frankly, I have trouble with it. Lessig has a perfectly good style, and it is amazing just how odd people can get with property rights, but he makes a few very unjustified leaps of logic.

      It's been a while since I last tried to read Lessig, but the one that really stands out in my mind was the declaration that enforcing the copyright expiry in the Act of Queen Anne (I think it was that act, anyway) in the 18th century made for a big change, because cult

  • I will believe it (Score:4, Interesting)

    by fishbowl ( 7759 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:16PM (#25317669)

    I've always said I'd believe the numbers when an insurance company pays out a policy for the amount, and/or a company writes off the loss to the IRS in tax filings. Generally speaking, I don't accept claims that are in a forum or format that would not be construed as testimony by a federal court. I have never heard anybody with any authority to speak for a US corporation, give a deposition under oath that makes the claims addressed in the article. It is as though they tell their shareholders, artists, performance rights organizations, and their own attorneys, different things from what they tell the FBI, the Customs agents, certain elements in the media, and lobbyists. I'm thinking there might actually be a crime here, but what do I know?

  • It's turtles all the way down....

    Reminds me of the quote: There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics

    - Samuel Clemens

  • What about... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by speroni ( 1258316 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:17PM (#25317689) Homepage

    all the jobs created by piracy? There's been how many software jobs created to come up with new anti-piracy software, DRM and the like. How many law suits have been thrown around bloating the salaries of overpaid lawyers and their ilk. Whole corporations such as the RIAA have been created to combat the travesties of pirates on the high webs.

    How many jobs have been created due to the piracy itself. Napster has its roots in file sharing, if not for this company the likes of iTunes would not likely exist. Thepiratebay while not a piracy company would not be what it is right now with out some pirated content.

    On the flip side of all of this imagine what the media would be like if artists did it for the art and not for the money. Movies such as Indiana Jones and the Crystal skull wouldn't exist. Aliens, wtf? Thats the kind of "art" that comes out of focus groups and market testing.

    • Re:What about... (Score:5, Interesting)

      by mcgrew ( 92797 ) * on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:46PM (#25318131) Homepage Journal

      Whole corporations such as the RIAA have been created to combat the travesties of pirates on the high webs.

      The RIAA is older than I am, and I'm a geezer.

      An analog disk has a hard time with bass; the grooves would have to be way too deep. Fortunately, you can correct this in hardware using what is called an equalization curve [wikipedia.org]. It works somewhat like Dolby in reverse.

      The record is recorded with the bass attenuated, and played back with the opposice curve (see the wikipedia article for detail).

      In the beginning there was no standardization, but with high fidelity albums came the need for standardization. The RIAA was formed to standardize the various hardware companies' and recording companies' curves.

      They didn't start suing their customers until this century.

  • by whisper_jeff ( 680366 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:24PM (#25317799)
    What really kills me is not that the RIAA and MPAA lied (*gasp*) but by how much they've lied. The numbers they quote aren't even vaguely believable. Even if one fudges some numbers and gets creative with accounting/HR tracking, the numbers are still off by several orders of magnitude. I can understand them fudging numbers (applying lost sales from a downturn in the economy to piracy, for example), but these numbers aren't even close to that. Not by the longest of long shots. As the article says, $200 billion is more than the movie and music industry combined. Are they really claiming they've lost more to piracy than they made? Are they really claiming that 7% of the unemployed are from their industries? Because that's what their numbers are saying...
    • Those numbers assume the rest of the galaxy isn't buying our movies because they pirate them. Damn those bastards on Alpha Centauri!

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by spicate ( 667270 )

      Are they really claiming that 7% of the unemployed are from their industries?

      It's actually more like 10% of the "unemployed", since the unemployment rate only counts people actively searching for a full-time job.

  • by Enderandrew ( 866215 ) <enderandrew@gmSTRAWail.com minus berry> on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:32PM (#25317931) Homepage Journal

    Why do people have to be so black-and-white on this issue? Pirates think everything should be free and argue like they're entitled to steal. Argue with them, and they point to illegal MediaSentry tactics and DRM as justification.

    The truth is both sides are wrong. The MPAA, RIAA, ESA, etc. forge huge numbers of loss, not pointing to money that shifted to another market. Pirates aren't entitled to steal, but people who produce IP shouldn't be entitled to harass their customers either.

    If you really want to solve the issue it is quite simple.

    Put out a convenient product, instead of a DRM-ladened one, and people will but it. People will even accept DRM if it isn't too obnoxious. People are buying music and video legally over the internet. Digital distribution is the future and the big boys better embrace it rather than fight it.

    Next, if you want to see were the real theft is, it isn't 12-year old girls downloading Rhianna albums, but rather rampant pirating in places like China and Russia, where pirates mass-produce your material and resell it illegally.

    The US economy would be vastly better off if they received money from the IP they produced globally. The entire world watches our shows, movies, listens to our music, uses our software, plays our games, etc.

    A real international force (unlike the UN) should be able to enforce sanctions against nations who do nothing to crack down on massive piracy. Allowing pirated DVDs to be sold on the street is not acceptable.

    Next, consumers in China often have less money to spend than their US counterparts (though that may change) and they are used to cheap prices on pirate goods.

    The MPAA should HIRE the guys doing the best bootleg releases over there to turn around quick, legal, localized releases and sell them cheap to compete with the pirate market.

    The sad thing is that pirate releases are sometimes vastly more convenient, and better than commercial releases. Check out pirate Windows XP CDs loaded with new drivers, pre-loaded apps, simpler installers, etc.

  • I know that figure because thats how much an album I wanted would have cost me had I bought it. Instead, I downloaded it. If the download wasnt available, I would have purchased it. But since it was, I didnt have to spend my money. Another perfect example. I saw a training book I wanted, at the store. I came home, search for a torrent, and next day I had it. Again money lost due to piracy. I doubt Im the only one doing this. I know /. Likes to pretend that such pirating activity doesnt exist, but of cours
    • I'm guessing that you didn't RTFA did you? This was addressed, 79.99 is not the correct figure either.

      Here is a hint - Where did that 79.99 go instead?

      T

  • What is the issue is that large companies who base their model upon production physical media are trying as hard as they can, with everything they got, to maintain the demand for their products. And they are allied with the distributors who also make ungodly amount of money selling physical media. Digital media, content downloaded of the web, is a direct threat to their profit.

    This isn't about protecting intellectual property it is about protecting the flow of money. Of course I don't really think this is
  • by Drakkenmensch ( 1255800 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @01:46PM (#25318139)
    In a certain way, it advantages the entertainment industry to claim such outlandish figures. If you're going to sue an average woman for hundreds of thousand of dollars, or bully a 12 year old child for upwards of 25,000$, you need to make your claim based on a tiny percentage of your actual losses. What court would allow a six digit suit against any ONE person when your ENTIRE industry losses only tally up a few millions? It's all part of being able to push around helpless citizens, like the Juggernaut picking on a class of non-mutant first graders.
  • by chord.wav ( 599850 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @02:06PM (#25318471) Journal

    How many lawyer jobs did it create? What about engineers working on DRM and other antipiracy methods? And the guys that make the trailers that say copying movies is stealing, etc, etc. Where would they all be without pirates?

  • by alisson ( 1040324 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @03:20PM (#25319805)

    It's been proven multiple times that if you look at actual downloads versus purchases, the loss is indistinguishable from 0. I see the value in having multiple studies for the same claim, but it does make it less interesting for the informed.

    Also it's important to note that any figures from anti-piracy groups will have two assinine assumptions:

    1) Every downloaded song WOULD have equaled one purchased CD. No one ever buys individual songs from the outlets available to them, and no one EVER EVER buys a CD and listens to more than one song. (I suppose there's some truth that most albums have at most one song worth listening to.)

    2) Every single person that downloads songs WOULD have bought every song if it wasn't available for free. (Once again, greatly overestimating what their albums are worth.)

  • by mkcmkc ( 197982 ) on Thursday October 09, 2008 @05:37PM (#25321653)

    #2: Uh, sir, I'm not sure that figure will quite do it...

    Dr. Evil: Well, okay, then. Two... Hundred... MILLION... Dollars!

    #2: Yes, but you see, that really not so much money anymore. Congress spent more than that on their new gymnasium...

    Dr. Evil: Alright. Try this then: Two... Hundred... BILLION...

    (#2 nods)

    Dr. Evil: ...Dollars. Alright--let's contact the press...

Keep up the good work! But please don't ask me to help.

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