BSA IDC FUD 354
truthsearch writes "News.com.com is reporting that a 'study, commissioned by the BSA and conducted by IDC, found that in general, nations with the lowest piracy rates had the largest IT sectors. The study, which examined 57 countries, predicted that a 10-point reduction in the rate of piracy over four years could generate 1.5 million jobs and $64 billion taxes worldwide.' The BSA, er... Microsoft, will use this study to convince governments to crack down on piracy. 'Overall, the countries that have the poorest record of IP rights have slower rates of IT growth,' BSA CEO Robert Holleyman said. Oh, and the countries with the most oppression have had the slowest IT growth, but that can't be the cause, nah."
Note to BSA: go fuck yourselves (Score:4, Insightful)
Basically they countered by stating they wanted full disclosure of
who reported them so as to determine the validity of the claim prior
to wasting internal resources and dollars. They also argued that
the reporting tools are a violation of privacy. Yes, they expected
them to place some software on their network which scans their
entire network not to mention each machine's registry. Third, they
also argued that even if they were in violation of license, the
license is between them and the vendor (after all, the license does
not allow for the BSA as having legal proxy interests) and unless
the vendor in questions decides that they'd like to personally
persue the issue, the BSA does not have legal authority or the
legal grounds to persue the action. Furthermore, they argued that
even if something odd was discovered and they lost, only the
government has the right to impose fines on legal matters as such
and they would be within their legal rights to simply purchase
any outstanding licenses or settle directly with the vendor in
question and completely dismiss the BSA altogether thereby
eliminating the need to pay any fines or added fees.
I am speechless (Score:2)
(Seinfeld impression)
Re:Note to BSA: go fuck yourselves (Score:5, Funny)
Blvd M. Avila Camacho #120,
Col Lomas De Chapultepec,
11652 Mexico, D.F.,
Mexico
COME AND GET ME!
Re:Note to BSA: go fuck yourselves (Score:3, Interesting)
No, you don't understand (Score:2)
Those that cross the BSA, they are the desaparecidos.
Re:Note to BSA: go fuck yourselves (Score:4, Informative)
IANAL, but...
1) BSA can't just demand to search your business. You can tell them no, they have no legal power.
2) They can go to court and get access, but this is a complex process frought with a lot of potential closed doors and not a small amount of cost and delay. Token cooperation may yield a judge that dismisses the BSA claims altogether, especially if you can argue that its just a strongarm tactic to increase revenue and not a legitimate enforcement tactic based upon a well-founded suspicion of intential copyright violation.
3) The whole raid concept itself sounds kind of dubious -- there's loads of companies that it would take a huge team of people MONTHS to try to audit, and that's with real good cooperation. Geographic dispersion, security or other governmental/law enforcement obligations may seriously hamper it as well.
Uh huh... (Score:2, Interesting)
In related news, it was revealed that 20% of reckless drivers smoked marijuana. (Of course, so does 20% of the general population;).
Lies, damned lies, and statistics. Truer words were never spoken...
The study.. (Score:5, Informative)
The Study.. [bsa.org]
Re:The study.. (Score:2)
Try this [bsa.org]
"BSA IDC FUD" (Score:5, Funny)
Re:"BSA IDC FUD" (Score:5, Funny)
You know you are a geek when you understand a headline of all these acronyms...
I get the gist of it. A U.S. security agency is investigating Elmer Fudd for opened a federally insured savings account.
Re:"BSA IDC FUD" (Score:2)
You know you are a geek when you understand a headline of all these acronyms...
SIC.
More TLA please (Score:2)
In summary, the headline needs more TLAs to confuse the FBI, CIA, DHS, NSA, DEA, and ATF!
hah! (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:hah! (Score:2)
Gives us all a pretty good idea what they're pirating, doesn't it?
In a related study... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:In a related study... (Score:2)
Once you count the unwanted pregnancies caused by piracy, it all evens out.
Re:In a related study... (Score:2)
Translated into english (Score:2, Insightful)
Countries should help us exploit our patents and trademarks to maintain monopoly. Our "unbiased" study confirms that this will help your economy.
BSA? (Score:2, Funny)
When I was in the BSA ... (Score:2)
Easy... (Score:4, Funny)
Ummm... (Score:2)
Unless you actually want to make money.
Re:Ummm... (Score:3, Insightful)
Re: (Score:2)
Re:Ummm... (Score:2)
An Open Source development outfit really doesn't make a whole lot of profit, the business model is still being flushed out and as RedHat has shown us the only real money to be made is from the bugs and complexity of the software that must be supported.
I think it would be great is OSS companies actually made money, but the companies costs have to be paid for somehow.
Re:Ummm... (Score:3, Interesting)
(BTW, I'm not saying that seriously, but just pushing the BSA statements a bit further)
Re:Easy... (Score:3, Interesting)
Open source software _is_ good for the IT industry. Broken software that requires babysitting by elitist gurus is _exactly_ what IT workers want, so they can continue to justify their positions and their salaries.
UNIX and Open source in general are _Great_ for the privileged few IT workers that use them effectively (or use them effectively enough to fool their employers).
Until companies start doing the hard analysis of "gosh, even though i sell shoes, IT is 50% of my expenditure
Re:Easy... (Score:3, Insightful)
Little addendum:
With the select few open source applications, this is dead on. Apache and FreeBSD are IT services that don't require elitist gurus, but try to get PHP + mod_perl + Apache with mod_ssl going, and you need that guru.
Great post, was brilliantly timed. I'm glad you didn't post thi
Re:Easy... (Score:2)
And I thought I only needed to be worried about GPA inflation... now I have to call the guys that really are what I thought of as "gurus" something else... demigod, maybe?
Re:Easy... (Score:3, Insightful)
Go ahead and RTFM, and see how long it takes you just based on the manual to set up what I listed.
Re:Easy... (Score:3, Interesting)
The point he was trying to make was not how fast an expert can install something, it was, can a company that just fired their IT staff get a secretar
Re:Easy... (Score:4, Insightful)
I challenge you to find anyone, hell find an MSCE, who doesn't have experience with Linux to install Apache, mod_perl, PHP, and mod_ssl in three hours.
The point wasn't that an experienced Linux user could do these things. It was that an inexperienced secretary could not do these things. Firing your IT staff and expecting people in your company to be able to RTFM and do things like install the above list of software?(we won't even go as far as using it) I don't think so.
Re:Easy... (Score:4, Insightful)
I challenge you to find anyone, hell find an MSCE, who doesn't have experience with Linux to install Apache, mod_perl, PHP, and mod_ssl in three hours.
And I challenge you to find a fry cook who can install IIS and Exchange set up for 1000+ users, and patch it properly.
Re:Easy... (Score:2)
It's this sort of reactionary tripe that makes people mutter about trolls/idiots/Bill Gates and wander off. Do try again.
Re:Easy... (Score:3, Informative)
Which is why KB toys switched to Linux based systems for their cash registers and inventory maintience. Or the Mass. Dept. of Revenue switched to Linux because it costs them $200 a terminal vs. $400+ a terminal for Windows (after taking into cons
Re:Easy... (Score:2)
Switching to OSS to eliminate piracy would actually work, but I doubt that the BSA had that in mind.
If people started to use OSS instead of CSS local economies would be able to take what they are currently investing in CSS fees and invest them in the skills of the local labor force. This would ultimately be very good for local economies but would probably crush the economies of CA and WA especially near Seattle.
Might work... (Score:2)
Wonder how our elected representatives are going to take this. Obviously they're not going to consider that people who wouldn't (couldn't afford to) buy the software in the first place would be dodging taxes. Not to mention of course the amount of PR various BSA members have received for "leaked" beta versions of software...
Re:Might work... (Score:2)
Yes, I know that one doesn't actually depend on the other, but if presented in nice packaging, will Joe Sentator really care?
If thats the problem..... (Score:4, Funny)
Damn.....if thats a big issue with how piracy is wrong, I'm free and clear since I don't pay any sales tax anyway in the state I'm in (Delaware)......whew! my conscious is CLEARED!
Time to buy another spindle of CDRs!
Re:If thats the problem..... (Score:2)
Not what I'd have predicted. (Score:2)
Re:Not what I'd have predicted. (Score:5, Funny)
Of course they have computers in Nigeria. How else is John Bako sending out his 419 emails to everyone?
Correlation vs. Causality (Score:5, Insightful)
This is the kind of thing that gives statistics a bad name.
Here's another correlation distortion. People in the mid 1800's had an average lifespan of what? 45 years? Today's average lifespan is like 70 or something. Now, choose your data sets that way, and compare life expectancy of those people who have personal computers, and those that didn't (those from the 1800's). You'll find a *strong* correlation between PC use and life expectancy.
But it's clearly meaningless. The key factor here is obviously availability of health care. You can use this same trick to "prove" relationship between almost anything.
This study is clearly junk.
Tell Your Congresscritter (Score:2)
You'll find a *strong* correlation between PC use and life expectancy.
Also, if you do send this to DC, I expect that free PC's will become part of Medicare...;)
Re:Tell Your Congresscritter (Score:2)
Careful -- if you do that, congress is likely to mandate PC ownership.
Re:Correlation vs. Causality (Score:3, Funny)
Re: Quoth the Simpsons: (Score:3, Insightful)
Lisa: "That's specious reasoning."
Homer: "Thanks, honey."
Lisa: "According to your logic, this rock keeps tigers away".
Homer: "Hmmm. How does it work?"
Lisa: "It doesn't."
Homer: "How so?"
Lisa: "It's just a rock. But I don't see a tiger, anywhere."
Homer: "Lisa," *pulls out wallet* "I want to buy your rock."
----------
Re:Correlation vs. Causality (Score:3, Funny)
If the intended audience is the general public or your average collection of drunken frat-boys then stupid arguments are pretty convincing. It's not through chance that the unethical use FUD.
If, however, the intended audience are our just and wise leaders--those who consider every issue in a careful, logical, and unbiased manner, then your complaint is relevant.
For our leaders would never use such arguments to pacify the public and just
Lies, Damn Lies, and Objectives (Score:4, Interesting)
I was discussing the value of using flaky numbers with a colleague the other day.
I made the point that people who use flaky numbers convincingly tend to get their way more often than people who fuss over accuracy.
So, whether you want to fuss over the quality of your numbers depends on your objective:
1) do you want to understand what is really happening, (eg. a scientist) , or
2) do you want to convince others to go along with you (eg. a politician).
Value judgements aside, what you ought to do depends on your objective.
Re:Correlation vs. Causality (Score:3, Insightful)
Here is the solution (Score:2)
All software developer's should instantly stop using any copy protection software and instead just begin a hiring frenzy for their IT staff using the money they save from not developing copy protection, plus the money will be getting from all those pirates now buying their products. Obviously, if we can hire enough people, piracy will disappear. Then we can all just use software on the honor system, with no serial numbers required.
Re:Correlation vs. Causality (Score:2)
Classic statistical lying technique. (Score:4, Funny)
* People sneezing more likely to catch cold.
* Companies with fewer security concerns more likely to use Linux.
* People who buy Ferrari's are more likely to be rich.
Dave
Re:Classic statistical lying technique. (Score:2)
Besides, Rachel would kill me.
You're also right, but on a separate point. I suspect that 90% of the value proposition for a Ferrari is to illustrate to the rest of the world how rich the owner is, or would like to appe
Oh that's great (Score:5, Interesting)
Imagine Palladium getting mandated to make this possible. No Macintosh anymore or similar platforms. Probably no WordPerfect either as it will cost Corel too much to get certified. Linux? Bye bye SuSE, RedHat, Mandrake, et al. It will be an industry dominated by a handful of giants. Our spineless, ignorant politicians have long ago forgotten that it is small and medium-sized business, not the giants, that run most of the economy. If those go under, unemployment will skyrocket, both parties will have egg on their faces and knowing America these days, we won't have a third party gaining power, we'll have 2 party weasles giving people heaping buckets full of Socialism.
Post hoc, ergo propter hoc (Score:2)
How can anyone conclude anything from this? You could say: "High piracy results in a weak IT sector" or you could say "A strong IT sector results in low piracy"
Both are completely valid conclusions to draw, and neither means anything in a void.
Correlation, meet causation.
Huh? (Score:4, Funny)
Or something.
It's About Glue (Score:4, Funny)
If piracy is high, their IT sector must be low
If an IT sector is low it must be a developing country
If it's a developing country then piracy will be high
thus...
If piracy is high, we impose trade sanctions
If trade sanctions are imposed, a developing country's economy will suffer
If people can't make enough money to buy software because their economy suffers they will not pirate software because they have learned their lesson.
"Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue."
I really wish... (Score:3, Insightful)
Causation and corelation are not the same thing.
Countries with a large IT industry tend to be highly developed, do not tend to have large organized crime, and tend to have stricter piracy laws. These all help keep piracy down.
This does not imply however that increasing piracy laws will increase the IT industry.
A=>B does not mean B=>A
It's like saying that countries with sea-access tend to have navy's, so if a country gets a navy it will have sea access.
It is a logical falicy.
It's laziness, not lack of education (Score:2)
WRONG. (Score:2)
We can't take IDC seriously as a source of analysis or accurate information anymore. Remember this when you see them cited as sources in articles...
IDC is just another public relations tool. Pay them and specify the results, they'll come up with a way to spin or invent "the facts".
I don't think they e
For your own good (Score:4, Funny)
Also, tithing 10% of your monies to our ministry (the Church of BSA) will return your monies tenfold. The Lord Bill has said so. So let it be written, so let it be done.
Cause and Effect (Score:3, Insightful)
in general, nations with the lowest piracy rates had the largest IT sectors, as measured as a share of the countries' gross domestic product(GDP)
My take:
in general, nations with higher rates of piracy spend less of their GDP on software.
Gosh, what a suprise. I never would have guessed. I wonder what they'll think of next. I supose they'll tell us that people who buy cars instead of stealing them have larger "automotive spending sectors". Which isn't to say that copyright violations are OK. But to tell a country that sending more of their GDP overseas to the US will help their local IT economy is just a bunch of crap IMHO.
Re:Cause and Effect (Score:2)
Fuzzy logic Mr President? You don't say.
Funny Numbers (Score:5, Insightful)
Is this?
A: Of all the software installed 40% is Warez
B: 40% of titles have been turned into Warez
I think that they mean A but I only find B to be believable.
Re:Funny Numbers (Score:2)
this makes no sense (Score:2)
The BSA study also determined... (Score:5, Funny)
"Without immediate action to stop the spread of piracy, American citizen's will soon find their skin turning darker and darker," said BSA Spokeman Bubba Nalk. "We can already see the effects of software piracy on college campuses, as file swapping continues to turn white students into asians and even black students, as evidenced by the increased enrollment of students of color."
Mr. Nalk had no comment on whether software piracy also caused male college athletes to turn into women.
BSA Audits Major Pop Star (Score:3, Funny)
"We're pleased to have Mr. Jackson's support in combating the numerous negative effects of software piracy," said BSA spokesman Bubba Nalk.
Free Software Proposal (Score:5, Funny)
These numbers make it clear that countries investing in Free Software will have a clear competitive advantage when it comes to their IT sectors.
OpenSource advocates should be happy about BSA (Score:2, Interesting)
The BSA - bunch of thugs (Score:5, Interesting)
Uh huh. Riiiiiight. Seems that the state gub'ment sold a mailing list to these jackbooted thugs. You gimme any of that juris-my-diction crap, you can cram it up your ass.
obligatory matrix reply (Score:3, Funny)
The mailing was for your protection.
Technically this is just "F" (Score:2)
Scary Part (Score:5, Interesting)
Worse yet is if the BSA presents it's findings over a complimentary lunch where they refuse to feed you until you've heard their propaganda, er, um, presentation.
If only I could print my proposals to use non-MS products in the latest issue of Dumbass Boss Monthly (this month's feature: Shiny Things As Business Strategy), I'd have no trouble. Graphs, documentation and logic seem to hold no weight.
Re: (Score:2)
People with IT jobs see piracy as stealing (Score:4, Insightful)
I think for people who don't think of software as work that puts bread on the table, software piracy feels less like stealing than it does for people who have had jobs writing software that paid their bills and bought food.
Re:People with IT jobs see piracy as stealing (Score:4, Interesting)
But I *do* get paid to write software. I get paid for my time to write custom software that isn't distributed. I couldn't give two shits about "piracy". Just pay me according to the signed contract. No pay, no work.
Jebus, you'd think getting paid for each and every copy of something was some kind of God-given capitalistic right.
Logical fallacies abound (Score:5, Insightful)
This assumes everyone has a bunch of unspent capital lying around. That never happens. If people are not spending their money on software, they are spending it somewhere else in the economy. "Cracking down on piracy" doesn't generate any tax money -- those taxes are already being collected. The only thing that changes is the government forces money from other sectors into the software sector.
Re:Logical fallacies abound (Score:3, Insightful)
You can either pirate that $300 Microsoft Office, then spend the money on the fruitstand down the street, or you can pay for it, and put $50 (or whatever) right into Bill's pocket. Nice way to get rid some capital lying around in a poor country...
Read The PDF (Score:2, Interesting)
This is great news for Americans (Score:3, Insightful)
It doesn't say so in the article, but we're led to believe that the U.S.A. and other "Western" nations have strong IP rights, low piracy, and fat, healthy IT sectors. So that means there is no piracy problem in the U.S.! Whew! Thanks for clearing that up, BSA.
Leaders of Governments Are Not Stupid (Score:2)
A national leader who listens to the BSA lobby with this will be able to see through it for what it is.
Those leaders may decide to tighten IP laws anyway for a number reasons: kickbacks from American and European industry members, threats of tariffs or sanctions, pressure from internal industry, etc., etc. It's not going to happen because of heavy-handed, rather obvious
Capital flight and trickle down economics (Score:2, Insightful)
The vast majority of software pirated by countries that the BSA cite as having small IT sectors is not domestically produced software. Thus, reducing piracy in these countries increases the revenue of coporations based in other countries (e.g. the US, and EU).
Software retail outlets and other industry "middlemen" in the countries in question will benefit from reduced piracy, but this is smal
How interesting... (Score:2, Insightful)
A simple study would have shown them that often piracy generates more jobs in the piracy field than there were people involved in making the software/media.
But the BSA doesn't want you to know that, do they?
Uh-huh, yeah (Score:2)
In another study I conducted recently, I noticed that states which have the largest ratio of non-mustached to mustached males have the highest average salaries. Therefore if you are male and have a mustache, you should shave your mustache to get richer.
Microsoft as a Government? (Score:2)
This just goes to (yet again) show how the Gatus of Borg icon really strikes a chord of truth!
Observations on the study and it's implications (Score:3, Insightful)
Let us not forget that it was Steve Balmer who said software piracy was a key element of Microsoft's market penetration strategy (in 1994), where in developing countries, users would pirate Microsoft software - since they souldn't affort to license it anyway, then as their productivity rose through use of this high qwuality software, their revenues would grow and by the time the BSA got around to auditing them, they could afford to license the software they had previously pirated.
It's important to note that this has NOTHING to do with Intellectual Property Rights or Privacy but simply enforcement of contract law. IP rights - those that are defensable anyway - relate to issues such as term of copyright, the nature of fair use and the transition of protected works into the public domain. Nobody, as far as I know has ever questioned whether Microsoft owns the rights to it's products, or has exclusive rights to sell their own products (except in a few countries such as China).
As for Privacy, the only way software piracy in any way relates to privacy is in terms of the ability to conceal a crime. I can understand how reduced software piracy can improve an economy, especially if the countries studied had Gross National Products smaller than Microsoft's marketing budget, but the only way that a reduction in privaly could cause a reduction in software piracy is if Microsoft were allowed to prevent users from disabling such Windows features as the automatic license varification within Windows Media Player, or gather additional detailed system and software data as part of Windows Update (which it turns out Microsoft is already doing) or if companies were allowed to hack into the networks of suspected software pirates.
Nothing new here. We already knew that Microsoft wanted to prevent users from disabling the monitoring features that already exist in Windows Media Player and Windows XP, and we've already seen such organizations as the RIAA (in the case of the music industry) propose that they should be able to hack into computers owned by private citizens to confirm that they had not illegally optained copies of un-licenced IP. Overall, I think this was a horendously bad move on the part of the BSA (I still think the boyscouts should sue the business software alliance for use of the acronym, since it's clear that the latter has done serious and irreperable harm to the international perception of the acronym in any context), in that instead of making these findings public, they should have been used in support of a private lobying effort to ease privacy restrictions so Microsoft can look back at us through our computer screens and watch our every move.
-- George Orwell
China? Taiwan? Korea? (Score:2, Insightful)
They have large IT sector - and huge piracy.
The whole study is a cheat since the
piracy depends mostly on the relation between
salaries and software cost.
When you make $15 an hour - it is OK for you
to pay $100 for soft. When $100 is your monthly
salary - there is no way you can afford $100
soft.
Must have a study of DRM economic losses (Score:2, Interesting)
Smoke and Mirrors (Score:4, Insightful)
Same goes for this study. There is a correlation between national wealth and anti-piracy. However this doesn't prove cause and effect. In fact there are many other factors that can easily play into this correlation. Nations that are rich are able to pay for software legitimately. Nations that are rich have the most to lose if copyrights are not enforced.
Think back to the last century. The U.S., being the young developing nation it was back then, didn't bother respecting any intellectual property rights themselves. Works from Britain were stolen, no royalties were paid, and our government didn't care much either. Just go do a search on google for what Charles Dickens thought about the U.S. when we stole his books/works and paid him nothing for it.
Fact is, developing nations NEED some latitude in terms of copyrights. Without it how are they going to develop? People in some of these countries can't even make enough $ in a year to pay for a crappy copy of Windows. The U.S. went through the same thing, and yet now we're calling the kettle black. This is hypocricy.
Re:Exactly! (Score:2)
Also, those of us with real programming credits don't need cluebies like you "sticking up" for us.
Wrong! (Score:4, Insightful)
The only people piracy hurts is record companies, and I don't know about you, but I don't really care about the growth of record companies.
Re:Wrong! (Score:3, Insightful)
>What's the point? I can create my own MP3s from CDs I already own.
Perhaps they lack the utilities (and/or knowledge of where to get said utilities) to rip the discs themselves. Perhaps the disc is physically damaged and no longer plays, or is damaged to the point that you don't want it in your 96x CD reader, which will spin it to pieces. Perhaps they seek access to the music on, say, a workstation with no drives, but enough oomph to ru
Re:Exactly! (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Exactly! (Score:5, Insightful)
The music/movie industry would have us believe that free distribution = end of profit.
They [bookcrossing.com] would seem to disagree:
"Publishers and authors: listen up! We know you may be concerned about all this book-sharing talk, and what it might do to your sales. You may be surprised to know that we have many, many publishers and authors that are big BookCrossing fans. They've seen the paradoxical value in encouraging the sharing of books. In fact, if one were to compare the number of people who buy books based on seeing book reviews here as the books change hands, to the number of people who actually find free books, we can assure you there are far more buyers than finders. This site is not about saving people money. Many of our members, in fact, have started purchasing two copies of every book they pick out, so they can keep one and release the other into the wild! Here's a good forum discussion re: authors, book sales, and bookcrossing that should alleviate any concerns about lost sales."
He [baen.com] would seem to disagree as well.
More here [baen.com].
True... none have anything to do with piracy, but it would appear that free does not necessitate loss.
Re:Biting the hand that feeds you (Score:2, Insightful)
Speaking as a profesional software developer, I really don't care about small scale piracy. I probably wouldn't have got into programming without a pirated copy of Turbo C++. In fact, it was my vast library of pirated software that got me interested in
Re:Linux use hurtsd us economy (Score:3, Insightful)
So if I lived in some poor third world country, and happened to have just enough money to buy some legal, non-pirated, commercial software, imported from some big industrialized nation with a huge IT sector, then ... I couldn't spend that money on something else like feeding my children. Do these idiots at BSA think that when people don't spend money on something like software, that they end up just burning it as cooking fuel?
The reality is the cause and effect is the other way around. Piracy always exis
Re:different reason [humor] (Score:3, Insightful)