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Submission + - High-Stakes Predictions (

aarondubrow writes: "The emergence of the uncertainty quantification field was initially spurred in the mid-1990s by the federal government’s desire to use computer models to predict the reliability of nuclear weapons. Since then, the toll of high-stake events that could potentially have been better anticipated if improved predictive computer models had been available — like the Columbia disaster, Hurricane Katrina and the World Trade Center collapse after the 9/11 terrorist attacks — has catapulted research on uncertainty quantification to the scientific and engineering forefronts."
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High-Stakes Predictions

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