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Spam Your Rights Online

Jupiter Forecasts 50% Increase In Spam 474

Mr. Sketch writes "According to Yahoo, the amount of spam is expected to increase 50% in the next five years, meaning the average american will get over 3600 of them a year. The future of email is??"
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Jupiter Forecasts 50% Increase In Spam

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  • whitelisting (Score:2, Insightful)

    by muyuubyou ( 621373 )
    That's the only way for legacy mail accounts.
  • by NKJensen ( 51126 ) <nkj@NosPAm.internetgruppen.dk> on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:24AM (#4799905) Homepage
    'cause they include clever spam filters.

    I'm trying out POPfile (Naive Bayes text classifier and a POP3 proxy) [sourceforge.net] these days, it's looking good so far.
    • by CanadaDave ( 544515 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:31AM (#4799937) Homepage
      I've been trying out the Mozilla nightly builds which have the Mozilla spam filtering features [mozilla.org] in them. It works great so far. I can't until it is release-ready. I'm hoping for 1.3, but I think that's little optimistic.
      • "I've been trying out the Mozilla nightly builds which have the Mozilla spam filtering features ... I'm hoping for 1.3, but I think that's little optimistic."

        That's three months of daily beatings, and people are loving Bayesian filtering already - I think it'll be just dandy by 1.3 :-)

    • by kingkade ( 584184 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:27AM (#4800113)
      It gives you the feeling that there are people out there who care enough to send you personalized, thoughtful solicitations. They wouldn't send it to you if they thought you didn't really, really be interested in the product they're selling.

      Also, it's pink and tasty.
    • That sounds like it's an excellent project -- good to see a practical implementation of a sound theory. However, nothing precludes a commercial solution from working just as well or being just as successful. There's a low barrier to entry, so ease of use or availabilty may be a greater deciding factor. This one particular one seems like it'll do very well, but it's not a "bright future" for OSS as a whole -- they will all face the challenges that OSS faces today.
    • by Martin S. ( 98249 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @07:05AM (#4800224) Journal
      I write as the postmaster for a consumer email service, who enforces a strict abuse policy to prevent abuse at source. I do not consider client level filtering as a viable solution, it is a temporary stop-gap.

      It cures the symptoms not the cause, around 90% of all inbound traiffic to our email system is UCE and somebody has to pay for this, in both traffic charges and server capability. This is a hidden cost passed on all email users, ultimatly the consumer.

      It is for this reason that client side filtering is not a long term cure, it addresses the symptom not the roor cause. The long term solution must be the introduction of a trust network. The technology to make to possible is readily available in public key cryptography, what is lacking is the WILL. A system like this need not compromise anonymity, there are cryptographic protocols that allow for the establishment of anonymous trust with virtual identities. These same system can also be used to ensure email is cryptographically secure.

      This system requires the introduce of a core network of trusted directory servers as part of the MTA backbone, a network of authoritive MTA's which can and will vouch its users.

      This system is also vastly superior to the current black lists, which are far too centralised, clique and arbitrary, and fundamentally ineffective.

      This proposal does no even prevent commercial email, if anything it allows this to legitimise, punishing the fraudsters and crooks whilst rewarding the responsible. It is entirely feasible to choose to accept commercial/bulk email from their bank, or OSDN.

      Given time this will also provide participants a two fold advantage reduced costs and superior service.
      • I disagree that client-side filtering isn't a long-term solution, though it's not a direct one. Sure, there are superstar spammers who're making money hand over fist at it, but they're the minority. Everything I've read about spammer business models indicates that by and large it's not all that profitable a business. If client-side filtering becomes really widespread, it'll drive down response rates to the point where even the small marginal cost of spamming another ten thousand people is greater than the expected payoff. When that situation is commonplace, garden-variety spammers will have no incentive to keep doing their thing.

        Which isn't to say I approve of the bandwidth waste in the meantime, but short of passing tough anti-spam laws (which I'm all for) I doubt there's much direct action that can be taken to cut off the supply of spam. Gotta dry up the demand instead.

      • by wheany ( 460585 ) <wheany+sd@iki.fi> on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @08:47AM (#4800511) Homepage Journal
        I agree that client-side filtering is done "too late" to currently save bandwidth, but if people start using efficent filtering, the amount of spam they see, and possibly respond to, decreases.

        As response rates go down, the profitability of spam goes down, and people stop spamming. So in the long-long term, it will decrease the bandwidth spam consumes.

        A quicker solution would be if (all) "regular" servers blackholed known spamhauses and open relays, but unfortunately few commercial ISP are ready to do so...
        • by LX.onesizebigger ( 323649 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @09:55AM (#4800773) Homepage
          As response rates go down, the profitability of spam goes down, and people stop spamming. So in the long-long term, it will decrease the bandwidth spam consumes.


          I really, really wish you were right. Over the last year or so, the profitability of banners and popup ads on the Web has decreased significantly, and the effect of that has been a frightening increase in the amount, persistency, and content intrustion of ads.

      • Direct client-side bandwidth costs are too.

        All you have to do is look at the data services offered by cellular providers - Spam could easily double or triple (maybe even more) your monthly cost with such services due to the bandwidth it consumes.

        As a result of spam, I can't check email from my phone. My phone (Kyocera 6035, integrated PDA/phone) is more than capable of reading mail, but the 14.4 per-minute connection (And even the unlimited Vision connection if I sacrificed coverage and got a Treo 300 on Sprint) just can't handle the 50 or so messages I get a day, 95%+ of which are spam.
  • One word.. (Score:2, Interesting)

    Whitelisting. If you don't know what it means, you only specify who you want to receive email from, and don't receive any other mail.

    That would be a start!
    • Re:One word.. (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Jugalator ( 259273 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:29AM (#4799927) Journal
      you only specify who you want to receive email from, and don't receive any other mail.

      That would be a start!


      Yeah, a pretty bad start, since it would take away most reasons you leave out your e-mail address; to let people you don't know contact you.

      If we have to start whitelisting people to make e-mail usable, we have clearly lost the battle against spammers, since it would make e-mail much less usable than it is today.
    • Re:One word.. (Score:3, Insightful)

      by spencerogden ( 49254 )
      I think then the problem is that email just becomes slow instant messaging. I think widespread use of whitelists would be very bad for the email system.
      • Re:One word.. (Score:2, Insightful)

        by Drek ( 23194 )
        As sad as it is, I think whitelisting is going to be the only way to go until some decent legislation is passed to fight spam. The FTC is going after the fraudulent stuff, but until spamming is actually made illegal, it'll just continue to get worse. Unfortunately, I do not trust the current regime to legislate this...we could end up losing even more civil rights than we already have.

        Besides, whitelisting isn't all that horrible of a concept when you really think about it. In an offhand way, many of us use the same concept by using a Hotmail or Yahoo email address for everything and only giving our REAL address out to the people we trust. It's just a different way of thinking from the "good old days" - which definitely sucks, but so do banner ads, pop-ups, et al...and they aren't going anywhere.
    • Still doesn't help the mail servers that are choking and dying under the massive spam load, though.

      Although, I'll freely admit that probably half of the "choking" servers just need to be properly tuned for their intended job. Too many folks just throw as much CPU/disk/RAM at it as they can, without actually thinking about how the data all flows through.
    • That would be a start!

      It would also be the end of any usefulness for email. Back to snail-mail or phone (i.e. if direct marketers still want to target you, make 'em pay).

  • by Nefrayu ( 601593 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:25AM (#4799911) Homepage
    I think that ISPs might decide to fight back. They're providing all the bandwidth to send this junk, and if they have to raise rates to their customers to do it, people will leave, causing their revenues to drop. It makes sense for them to nip this thing before that happens. Legislation, software filters, whatever...
    • Maybe I am wrong, but I doubt the bandwidth requirements of a spammer rival even a moderate website. When an email is sent to many addresses, isn't only sent to the initial SMTP server once?
  • c'mon (Score:4, Funny)

    by olip ( 203119 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:25AM (#4799912)

    50% over 5 years ? less than moore's law ? lucky are we !

    O.
    • Well actually, if we were to more properly apply moores law to spam, then every 18 months the size and complexity of spam will double, not the actual volume of spam received.
  • Currently, my posts look like this:

    Spam, spam, spam. Spam, spam, spam.

    In the future, they'll look like this:

    Spam, spam, spam. Spam, spam, spam. Spam, spam spam!

    Far out.
  • by The Tyro ( 247333 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:27AM (#4799921)
    I get more "Enlarge your penis!!!" Emails than anything else right now in my inbox (*sigh* if only it were true...)

    Here we have the ultimate triumph of the marketdroids. These people think we would buy their stuff for sure, if only we heard the sales pitch. Hmmm... how about "not."

    I've got news for them... you CAN'T sell ice to eskimos. This kind of ridiculous crap makes the sellers look like a bunch of charlatans (if the shoe fits...), and annoys the audience.

    When I get carpal tunnel from pressing Ctrl-D, somebody's going to suffer.
  • Astrology? (Score:3, Funny)

    by trotski ( 592530 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:28AM (#4799926)
    It seems we have found a use for Astrology!

    Since when can a planet perdict an increase in Spam, read the headline, it sounds just like Astrology!
  • by DarkHelmet ( 120004 ) <mark&seventhcycle,net> on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:29AM (#4799929) Homepage
    meaning the average american will get over 3600 of them a year

    But at least my penis will grow by an inch or two.

    And it'll always be hard thanks to those free viagra trials.

  • IANAL, but... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by girl_geek_antinomy ( 626942 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:32AM (#4799940)
    ... Wouldn't a moderate number of 'Western' countries (North America, the EU, and a few others who might want to tag along) banning the sending of unsolicited mail and the marketing of tools and lists with which to do it make a serious impact on the amount of spam recieved? Sure, a certain amount of it comes from abroad, but quite a lot is domestic, too, and quite a few countries in these areas are prepared to pay for it who might not be if it were banned.

    There needs to be a mechanism for the governments to pick up the excess cost of people recieving spam, rather than Jo Punter paying for it in a few extra pennies every time he dials up to check his mail...
  • Here I go again... (Score:2, Informative)

    by Nefrayu ( 601593 )
    I went 100% cellular to (among other things like convenience) avoid the telemarketers. Haven't had one call since, and it's been a year. I think I could live without email as well if the spam gets to be too much. Web access is a must, but I don't really need an email account. That's one sure way to avoid the spam.
  • by dr.Flake ( 601029 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:33AM (#4799949)


    Thus concludes the 8 o'clock news.

    And now for the Spam forecast for tomorrow we switch to our techie in the basement.
    john?, John are you there?

    Yes margret, we're here in the basement of one of our nations largest ISP's, are we're looking on the screen.

    As you can see, most spam will be concentrated in the north-west, and will slowly decent into the more southern regions of the nation. We can expect particulary heavy downfall of explicit spam, so parents, keep your children away from their mailboxes tomorrow!

    As for the rest of the week, I am sad to say that it doesnt look good. we're likely to see a further increase, as we have seen in the last 5 years in a row now.

    This has been John Geek from the basement of the heart of the digital world, back to you margret...
  • Only ppl in you contact list will be able to actually reach you, all the rest will end in a catch-all folder automatically deleted periodically.

    Some online services already offer this due to the overwhelming ammount of spam you get. I have a Hotmail acct i use to sign up to stuff online since '95. It gets around 10~15 spam daily which is caught by the spam filter and around 4~5 that get thru "misterioulsy" :) that is a single acct that gets up to 20 spams/day !!

  • by IamTheRealMike ( 537420 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:38AM (#4799958)
    A new (secure) protocol?
    • by robinjo ( 15698 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:39AM (#4800155)

      Nice idea but very difficult to implement. The problem is not the protocol. It's the content. No matter how secure a protocol is, a pinhead can always use it to send ads. It just arrived through a "secure" route.

      I guess the best way is to slow down e-mail. That way it would take days to send a million messages. This would hurt mailinglists but exceptions could of course be made. Let certain known behaving servers send e-mail faster. That way you have to earn the right to send e-mail fast.

  • And the reason..? (Score:3, Informative)

    by euxneks ( 516538 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:42AM (#4799978)
    It's because dummies like you keep responding to them! Stop encouraging them!!! They have no way of making you money, or giving you a horse-sized penis.
    • Re:And the reason..? (Score:4, Interesting)

      by octalgirl ( 580949 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @08:44AM (#4800504) Journal
      I agree that it's crazy that .0001% actually purchase something, then they think it's a success and spam even more.

      But what I really can't stand is when tech people run around and say "never, ever respond to spam, or try to opt out. You will only get more once they realize your email address is good." This is just BS. It can be confusing to explain the best way to remove spam - learning to decipher legitmate companies (Buy.com, Hickory Farms, Citi Bank) from the viagra ads, but you have to try. The legit ones will truly remove you when asked - so that's done. The ones with broken links and return addresses that go nowhere get filtered - (they can't verify squat because you couldn't reply anyway). And for some of the porn that have either web links or reply requests, just try them. It's a pain to keep track of those you reply to then check to see if they come back, but if they do, that's when you type "remove me from your list and any other list connected to you or I will forward this message to my state's attorney general". I've done this a couple of times, and it's like a big swoosh sound as the spam gets sucked off of my computer. Those few viagra and hot teen things that come to me I just delete. These are mostly from fake .aol or .msn accounts anyway (and if you have time, those get sent to abuse@aol, etc. -not that they'll do anything, but it's good to annoy them) Overall, after a few weeks of fighting back, my spam has been reduced greatly.

      Ironically, out of all of the articles and how-to's I have read, very few explain how to try to opt out. The National Enquirer, of all rags, actually had a very good article on spam and included opt out instructions that pretty much follow my method - when to do it, when to not bother. They have also had good articles on keeping kids safe online, identity theft, alerts on kids modeling sites that border on child pron - who would have guessed to find decent tech stuff there?
      • Re:And the reason..? (Score:3, Informative)

        by KC7GR ( 473279 )
        Some more choice quotes...

        "...But what I really can't stand is when tech people run around and say "never, ever respond to spam, or try to opt out. You will only get more once they realize your email address is good." This is just BS..."

        Really? What evidence do you offer in support of this claim? I've tried, as an experiment, using the 'unsubscribe' link or address in a couple of spams. The result was predictable; Lots more spam, from an even wider array of sources. It got bad enough that I had to close down the 'bait' address I used.

        There's plenty of at least anecdotal evidence, such as that found here, [arachnoid.com] that I think is more than adequate to counter such a sweeping generalization. I'm sure a Google search could turn up lots of other examples.

        This also caught my eye...

        "It can be confusing to explain the best way to remove spam - learning to decipher legitmate companies (Buy.com, Hickory Farms, Citi Bank) from the viagra ads, but you have to try. The legit ones will truly remove you when asked - so that's done..."

        'Legit' companies won't send you marketing E-mail without you asking for it to begin with. That's what confirmed opt-in is all about.

  • A modest idea... (Score:5, Interesting)

    by still_sick ( 585332 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:43AM (#4799980)
    The problem currently is that there's so many people who are doing a very good job at blocking / stopping most of the spam that the average joe or public official doesn't realize just how much spam is sent to his mailbox every day (or at least would be if it weren't for the anti-spammers).

    What if for a period of time, maybe a week or a month, a day isn't long enough, the anti-spammers just quit. All of them. Let the spammers have an internet-wide orgy. Let people see how much of a problem this is - let the lawmakers make better spam laws, and then have the law enforcement stop them.

    Blocking the spam is counter-productive, it only encourages the spammers to come up with better ideas on how to get it into your mailbox. The spam needs to be stopped at the source.
    • Laws won't work... (Score:2, Insightful)

      by CoachS ( 324092 )
      If you make spamming illegal here some spammer in Kryziafkigasistan will just set up a server farm and start blasting away.

      American laws don't usually concern people in other countries; especially countries that aren't our tightest allies.

      The Internet is global and it would be next to impossible to stop it once and for all. What's to stop somebody from popping up rogue servers for a day or so, blasting out spam, then taking their server down and moving it to a different IP address?

      There are so many ways to evade the law in this area, and, ultimately, while we're fighting the "War on Terror" nobody is going to commit any real enforcement resoruces to chasing spammers.

      Making it illegal would have a very small effect, in my opinion. Heck, those "Send a buck to each name on the list" scams are illegal but that doesn't stop them. So is the "I'm a Nigerian Prince with $20 Billion and I've chosen you, a broke college student, to help me get it out of the country" scam. Hasn't stopped.

      Ultimately we're stuck with it until it becomes unprofitable to do it. Until that day comes better filters and a lot of [DELETE] are probably the best we can hope for.

      -Coach-
      • India (the entirety of vsnl.in, which was the national backbone at the time) got unplugged from the net for a few days a few years ago because of Usenet spam. If some countries (e.g. the US!) legislate against spam, it will provide a tool to pressure other countries into it.
      • You're right to a point, but I'm pretty sure making it illegal would drastically reduce it, and give us more tools with which to fight.

        First, no halfway legitimate Western business is going to go to a spammer in Kazakstan.

        Second, since an IP address can usually be fairly accurately mapped to a country, the large ISPs here could simply make a decision to block off all access to a country that is known to be spam friendly.
  • I finally realised just how big the spam problem has become when Tupperware spammed me the other day!
  • Good bye privacy? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by USC-MBA ( 629057 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:45AM (#4799992) Homepage
    As a libertarian, I am concerned by the tension between wanting to stamp out the flow of spam, and the two-pronged threat anti-spam forces pose both to free speech and to email anonymity.

    The ability to send unsolicited email to practically anyone has long been a valuable online tool for everything from online protests (like filling your Congressman's mailbox with anti-DMCA flames) to communicating with intriguing personalities. A good deal of anti-spam legislation can be interpreted in ways that infringe on this basic cyber-right. Worse, the anti-spam cause could also be used by authoritarian interests to crack down on all unsiolicited emails.

    Likewise, anonymous remailers and open relays have been used by people to protect their privacy almost as long as email has existed. These valuable tools of freedom can also be targeted by the Ashcrofts of the world in their bid to tie back our liberites, all in the name of crushing "spam".

    Let us hope that privacy-loving interests will continue to develop technological solutions to the problem of spam, thereby keeping the solution to the problem market- and freedom- based rather than relying on the "good graces" of the State to keep junk mail out of our inboxes

    • Re:Good bye privacy? (Score:2, Interesting)

      by Anonymous Coward
      You have a right to free speech, that does not mean you have a right to be heard. You can stand up in a public place and bellow until your blue in the face, but I can turn around and walk away from you. You cannot follow me and prevent me from going where I will, or otherwise force me to listen to you. I can put up a "No trespassing" sign in my yard, and you can't even come to my door. If I use a spam filter, and you figure out a way to bypass that filter, you have now effectively forced your way into my home after I've made it clear that you're not welcome. If you'd done that in person, I'd have shot you.

      I consider myself to be Libertarian as well, which to me means (among other things) that I get to do as I please, so long as I'm not infringing on the rights of others (like pestering the crap out of them when they just wish to be left the hell alone).
      • So can I as an individual get an injunction on the dozen or so USian citizens who are harassing me each day by sending me all that tripe? I could if they were physically present when doing it...
    • by Steve B ( 42864 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @10:23AM (#4800991)
      As a libertarian, I am concerned by the tension between wanting to stamp out the flow of spam, and the two-pronged threat anti-spam forces pose both to free speech and to email anonymity.

      If you're a libertarian, then you know perfectly well that you don't have a right to "free" speech on my dime.

      The ability to send unsolicited email to practically anyone has long been a valuable online tool for everything from online protests (like filling your Congressman's mailbox with anti-DMCA flames)

      Any communication to your Congressman about federal legislation is inherently solicited -- it's part of the job.

      Worse, the anti-spam cause could also be used by authoritarian interests to crack down on all unsolicited emails.

      The anti-crime* cause in general could be (and is) used by authoritarian interests to attack privacy, the right to keep and bear arms, the right to keep private property, etc. However, nobody in his right mind suggests that crime should be tolerated as the price of liberty.

      (*I am referring here to real crimes such as theft and assault, not to politically invented ones such as drug possession. Spam, being a theft of services, properly falls into the former category.)

      Likewise, anonymous remailers and open relays have been used by people to protect their privacy almost as long as email has existed.

      Reputable anonymous remailers have always limited message flow, precisely to prevent them from being used to steal bandwidth from others.

      Let us hope that privacy-loving interests will continue to develop technological solutions to the problem of spam

      Technological solutions and legal solutions complement one another. We lock our doors and arrest burglars.

    • Re:Good bye privacy? (Score:3, Informative)

      by KC7GR ( 473279 )
      You write...

      "The ability to send unsolicited email to practically anyone has long been a valuable online tool for everything from online protests (like filling your Congressman's mailbox with anti- DMCA flames) to communicating with intriguing personalities. A good deal of anti-spam legislation can be interpreted in ways that infringe on this basic cyber-right..."

      Ahhh... Excuse me? Can you point to any existing law that declares the sending of E-mail, or the use of ANY Internet resource for that matter, to be a fundamental "right," as opposed to the privilege (similar to a driver's license) that it is?

      You are forgetting that the majority of the Internet is made up of PRIVATELY-OWNED servers, routers, switches, etc. No SysAdmin or server operator is required to accept ANY traffic that they do not wish to.

      For example: The spam problem is so widespread in some Pacific Rim countries (Korea and Taiwan come immediately to mind) that I have chosen to block all mail coming from those countries. I realize that this may offend your sensibilities. Well, all I can say to that is 'My servers, my bandwidth, my rules.'

      When a spammer craps in my inbox, or that of my other users, they're stealing MY resources to do it. They're shifting the cost of their advertising to me. I will not tolerate that under ANY conditions.

      As one very wise individual once pointed out; "Free speech is not free when it comes postage due."

  • by MS ( 18681 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:47AM (#4799998)
    Modern countries have adopted laws against spam:

    Spamming is illegal throughout the European Union - I don't get hardly any spam from Europe (I get about 60 a day!), and if I get some, I am entitled to cash 250 Euros from the spammer... it works!

    Unfortunately some third-world countries like Korea, China, Brasil and USA (!!!) still allow spam or are reluctant to fight spammers, so spam is still a big problem to the whole world.

    Until those countries don't wake up and outlaw spam, the problem will persist

    PS: I recently have put most of APNIC in my sendmail access-list - it eliminates 60% of the spam, but spam from USA is still an issue.

    Greetings,
    ms --

  • by dagg ( 153577 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @05:47AM (#4799999) Journal
    During a lifetime the average person will swallow sixteen spiders while they are sleeping! We all know that that is because there is this one dude in Switzerland that swallows seven trillion spiders per year while he is sleeping. I won't ever swallow any spiders while sleeping, but that one guy messes up the average.

    Same theory with spam. Except my amount of spam will increase 1000fold, and yours won't increase at all. I'm messing up the average. I should probably stop soliciting impotence advice from Dr. Spam-alot.

  • Moore's Law (Score:2, Insightful)

    by oku ( 609226 )
    Only a 50% increase in 5 years? We are very lucky if that turns out correct. Anything below the prediction of Moore's Law (double every 18 months) would be a real surprise to me...

    If I only had time to respond to all those fine offers from Nigeria, I would own 850,000,000 (eight hundred fifty million) bits of email already.

  • Wouldn't it be a good idea to reply to as much spam as possible with subject lines like "I am very interested" or "Please send me more information"? Or actual orders with faked names? I know, that would validate my actual email adress, but if VERY MANY people did that, I bet we could drive the spammers crazy since they couldn't find the one or two real orders in the sheer mass of faked orders. Maybe a little script that sends faked orders (with different text) from various faked adresses?
    • Unfortunately,

      whenever you respond, the spammer gets more money, since the "response rate" will rise, and yur e-mail address will be marked as "active".

      compagnies should see that this kind of advertising will not result in any actual orders made.
      but since the cost of spam is for the recipient, selling one viagra pill is likely to make break-even.

      Flooding the compagny with fake orders would:

      a. be illegal
      b. could cause some innocent bloke to receive a package causing him to have to explain alot to his girlfriend.
      c. i'm not willing to even read all the vulgarities in the spam to get to the part of "how to order".

      just get me an easy to set up filter, for free, with 99.9% accuracy, deleting the suff before i have to see it.

      the resulting "weapons race" between spammers and spammies will result in such cost and effort on the side of the spammer, that by the time he/she is smart enough to get through all the filters, he/she is smart enough to get a real job. Hence, the cost of hiring him/her is so high, the market for spamming wil reduce
  • What I don't understand is why spammers try and defeat the filters - it seems like a waste of time to me. Those who filter their email don't want the spam and won't buy anything from a spammer - so why bother?

    I've got so frustrated with the vast quantities of spam I receive that I installed SpamAssassin. It works surprisingly well.
  • by serutan ( 259622 ) <snoopdoug@RABBIT ... minus herbivore> on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:00AM (#4800037) Homepage
    A little calculation...

    There are about 12 million businesses in the US alone. If one tenth of one percent of them sent you one email per year, it would amount to 1000 messages per month. Just a single, polite inquiry once a year by a tiny fraction of the legitimate businesses in the US, none of whom would suspect that they are causing a problem. As common as spam may seem, most businesses haven't discovered unsolicited email as a marketing tool.

    That's the main reason we need anti-spam legislation. Not especially because of the aggressive efforts of a few assholes, but because of the clogging potential of even light usage by a vast number of businesses who mean no harm.
  • by Beautyon ( 214567 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:02AM (#4800039) Homepage
    Perfect client side email filtering.

    The more people blow this problem up, the more likely it is that legislators will try and tackle it.

    And you know what that means; more bad "cyberlaw".

    Much better to concentrate on solutions to a problem, rather than making repretitive and useless noises about the problem itself.
  • by martin ( 1336 ) <maxsec.gmail@com> on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:11AM (#4800062) Journal
    more like 6 months

    I see a Moore's Law for spam - spam power will double every 9 months

    So if you want to get into a growing industry work for/found an anti-spam company.

    as ever with a :-)

  • by CoughDropAddict ( 40792 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:12AM (#4800067) Homepage
    The future of email is??

    I'm no fortuneteller but a good start would be an email protocol that fucking authenticates the sender so that you could be guaranteed that every email in your inbox has a from header that doesn't lie. No more untracable spammers. No more viruses that claim to come from your friends. As an added bonus, this would stop the flood of emails from various postmasters warning you that an email you never sent was not able to go through.

    Seriously, SMTP needs to be redone and the sooner the better. I know there are things like TLS and SMTP auth floating around, but they are not pervasive or mandatory, so they do no good at all.
  • by npcole ( 251514 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:13AM (#4800068)
    I'll probably loose karma over this, but here goes anyway.

    Of course spam is an important issue. And it's damn annoying too. But I simply don't believe all these stories about how email is going to become crippled by it.

    There are spam filters. More importantly, the use of aggressive blacklists forces ISPs themselves to take a tough line.

    The questioner asks what the future for email is. Well, it's simple: email is fine as long as the user is sensible. I have several accounts. I know that my hotmail account is entirely unusuable because of the level of spam it recieves. If I need to give my email address to someone I don't trust fully, I give them that.

    I have a work address. This gets a little spam from time to time as the organisation gets targeted. I filter out these spams with my own spam filter.

    Mailing lists tend to go to another address. So far, I haven't had too much spam from that quarter.

    My personal address is known only to a few friends. So far, no spam.

    The rule for keeping your address spam free is the same as it ever was: don't publish it.

    Now, what about people who want to advertise their address for open source projects and the like? Well, put it in the source code, in the README files, wherever you like. Just not on your web page.

    • by hkmwbz ( 531650 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @08:04AM (#4800377) Journal
      You said it yourself: Spam makes your Hotmail account unusable. That is why people complain. Spam takes up network resources and disk space. it wastes people's time. It sometimes makes an e-mail account unusuable - especially if you don't have the time to set up filtering etc.

      People shouldn't have to spend their time dealing with spam. Why should I have to? Why should I have to get multiple e-mail addresses because of spam? Why should my employer have to spend lots of money and resources on fighting spam, when it could have been spent elsewhere to improve performance rather than trying to prevent performance from deteriorating because of spam?

      How does spam cripple e-mail communication, you ask? Again, you said it yourself. People have to start hiding their e-mail address. It will be harder to find a contact address to get in touch with them.

      You are talking about spreading FUD. At the same time, you kind of contradict yourself by showing that yes, e-mail addresses can become unusable because of spam and yes, spam can cripple e-mail communication.

      So where's the FUD? Spam is a serious problem to many, and you, as someone else I responded to, don't seem to understand this. You only seem to be able to see it from your own point of view. Maybe spam doesn't bother you. Well, I can inform you that it does bother me, my friends and my employer. A lot. It costs us money. It costs us time. This is not "gloom and FUD", it is reality.

  • Maybe we should just start making fun of spammers, instead of lawyers and blondes. I have karma to burn, so here's a start. :D

    A drug dealer, an axe murderer, and a spammer are traveling together. One night they stay in a small farmhouse near a barn. The house only has two beds, so it is agreed that the drug dealer will sleep in the barn, while the axe murderer and spammer sleep in the house. So they go to bed.

    15 minutes later, the drug dealer comes in from the barn. "With all that hay and all those animals, my allergies are acting up. I can't sleep in the barn!" So the axe murderer agrees to go out there and gives the drug dealer his bed.

    15 minutes later, the axe murderer comes in from the barn, saying, "Those animals are making too much noise! I can't sleep out there!" The spammer sighs, saying "Ok, ok, I can sleep through anything. I'll go out there."

    A few minutes later, the cows, horses, and pigs all come in to the house, screaming "There's a spammer in the barn! We can't sleep with a spammer!"
  • No chance (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Matts ( 1628 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:31AM (#4800126) Homepage
    There's no way in hell we're going to be that lucky. A 50% increase in 5 years would make me jump with joy.

    The truth is it's increasing at a much faster rate than that. Recent research [zdnet.co.uk] has shown that it's going up about 400% per year!!! And my personal email account verifies that sort of increase.

    I suspect Jupiter is going to be eating its own words. In 5 years I suspect we'll be seeing perhaps 50 times more spam, not 50% more.
  • SpamAssasin (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Conspire ( 102879 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:34AM (#4800135) Homepage
    I configured SpamAssasin [spamassasin.org] on our incoming mail servers earlier this year. Whew! Was I a happy man! Not enough is said about the great work the SpamAssasin team has done. It just works, filtering out >95% of the spam I receive (about 30 to 40 per day). And what about my hotmail account? I can't be bothered to look through that load of garbage anymore.
    • Re:SpamAssasin (Score:3, Insightful)

      Here here. Got it installed on the mail server at the ISP where I work, and boy does it rock: 40-50k messages per day caught. Check my journal if you need details.
  • The golden age of advertising is here, and it's only just beginning. If you think that you're immersed in marketing noise right now, don't even think that it won't get much worse.

    Surely we're all supportive of freedom in the marketplace, but we don't have to be such market fundamentalists that we can't talk about legislation that would tell advertisers where they *can* advertise, rather than where they *can't*. We could settle this question of whether or not money equals free speech once and for all. We could create forums for advertising, and the market could be more equitable.

    Why take such a step? Advertising is taking over our lives, and it's displacing many of the more meaningful aspects of human culture that have been developed over millions of years. It's all going away...

    Use your imagination to see 50 years into the future...the people who are pushing the desceptive ads of today are just trying to be competitive....they and their successors won't stop pushing advertising further and further into every moment of our lives because their competitors won't stop pushing advertising further and further into every moment of our lives.

    Imagine...we could actually end this spiral that's quickly taking human civilization down the toilet.

    If I sound like a radical to you, it's only because we're all so perfectly accustomed to it, and we have no idea what things might be like without so much of it. As I type this, I can see logos and slogans on my screen, to my left, to my right, behind me...just look around...it's everywhere!!! AAAUGHHH!!!
  • I hate spam, and thus run my own mail server and employ various spam filtering / blocking techniques. The reason I do this is because I hate spam and for a long time had no other choice but to deal with it because of my long time email address with my local isp (been with them forever). I had asked about spam filtering and all I was told was "Configure outlook express to block senders. . ."

    Now the average joe is not in the position to run a mail server and deal with spam in the many ways that some slashdotters can. . . Leading to my question. . .

    Would you or better your mother pay a small monthly fee to have an email account that was free or almost free from spam? Employing such techniques as spam assassin or better something like tmda (tmda works like this, you add people you want email from to a whitelist, those not on your list can email you but they get a message which they must respond to be added to your white list).

    Would you be willing to pay $5 a month, $10? How concerned is the average person with spam? Or are they just use to it and are willing to click delete over and over again.
  • Client filtering will not solve the problem.

    The reason it will not solve the problem is because it validates your address, when the email is not rejected by the destination server.

    That means that your address is "in play": it gets added to lists, and passed around, until everyone has your address. A percentage of what these people send *will* get through to you: client filtering can only go so far, before it blocks everything.

    Client filtering requires that you download the email -- paying for the priviledge, eitheir directly, or indirectly, in term of time and resources.

    Client filtering means that any given SPAM can be pre-tested against any set filtering algorithm, and modified so that it does not trigger the filter, before it is ever sent to you directly, in order to get around the filter.

    Client filtering is an idea that's appealing only to people who don't really understand email technology, or who are acting willfully ignorant because they have a secondary agenda.

    Everyone who keeps suggesting client filtering has one or more of these attributes:

    1) They sell client filtering software

    2) They are an SMTP service provider, who does not want to burn compute cycles on their server by doing acceptance filtering, and rejecting the email

    3) They have a broadband link, and thik that everyone else has one, too

    4) They are a SPAMmer

    -- Terry
  • by spakka ( 606417 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @06:51AM (#4800184)
    An 8.5% p.a. rate of increase? I hope these estimates are correct - I'd expected it to be much worse.
  • by blowdart ( 31458 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @07:04AM (#4800223) Homepage

    .. that refuse to disconnect anyone spamvertising yahoo store URLs? I'm surprised yahoo has the gall to carry the story.

  • by Stroot ( 223139 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @07:38AM (#4800315)
    Wouldn't it be a solution if the people who coordinate the web installed some new central servers, like the DNS servers, to check emailadresses for sending spam?
    The DNS servers return an ip address for a given domainname. The spamcheck servers would return a value for a given emailaddress.

    This value could be modded up by the number of people reporting this emailadress as spam and modded down in time when people stop reporting this address.

    Your provider will check every received mail with the central servers and store their spam value.

    Your mailclient will receive only mail from your provider with a lower value than the value you configured. The rest will be removed from server at that time or only the headers of the bad mails will be send to your mailclient and put in a spamfolder where you can approve or remove them manually.
  • by Jasonv ( 156958 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @08:00AM (#4800362)
    In 1970 there were 500 Elvis impersonators in America. Today there are 150,000.

    It is expected that in the year 2020 one out of every three people will be an Elvis impersonator.
  • by Alsee ( 515537 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @08:31AM (#4800462) Homepage
    Mercury Predicts: The sun will rise tomorrow.
    Venus Predicts: A slashdot reader will not get laid tonight
    Earth Predicts: You are here X
    Mars Predicts: Continued fighting in the Middle East.
    Saturn Predicts: More pictures will be taken of its rings.
    Neptune Predicts: An unsinkable ship will eventualy sink.
    Uranus Predicts: Someone will relpy to this post with a Goatse link.
    Pluto Predicts: Disney characters [videocds2000.com] will not enter the public domain any time soon.

    -
  • Ah yes, SPAM.... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by xA40D ( 180522 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @09:13AM (#4800598) Homepage
    I've been seeing a marked increase in the number of articles claiming we're all going to be knee deep in spam any day now. Most of these stories seem to be based on information comming out of a press release from MessageLabs - who interestingly sell services to defeat spam.

    So IMHO I think the story should really be...

    FUD increases sales of SPAM related services by 50%

    SPAM is annoying, it's true. However, filtering it out is not rocket science - but then most people pull out the cheque book before engaging their brain.
  • Blame your ISP (Score:3, Interesting)

    by SamMichaels ( 213605 ) on Tuesday December 03, 2002 @10:24AM (#4801000)
    I'm getting really ticked about this spam crap. This is something that the ISPs need to handle, and handle fast.

    Why is it that they feel responsible to filter out Napster, Kazaa...filter out port 25...filter this, filter that, monitor this, monitor that....

    Yet none of them can do something as simple as an opt-in spam guard. It's turned on by default..and you don't need some fancy enterprise edition. You need Exim, Exiscan and SpamAssassin. Done. Should take a half-competent fresh college grad admin about an hour to do.

    Sure, some ISPs do it already. I remember when I was on Earthlink (2+ years ago) they had it...worked ok. How about everyone else? How about doing it FOR FREE?

    You don't win the war on drugs by going after drug dealers or importers. You win the war on drugs by poisoning the drugs so noone wants them.

    You don't win the war on spam by going after spammers or Asian servers. You win the war on spam by doing your part to educate end users and block it for them, thus removing the spammers' audience.

    Corporate MS/RIAA/MPAA/FCC-like nonsense happening. When are these people going to wake up and do their part?

    FYI, system stats to date for just my personal server at home:

    SPAM caught to date: 4193 in 84,397,706 bytes

    Viruses caught to date: 1018 in 277,420,970 bytes

    Yes, I'm donating my spam collection to spamarchive.org.

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